Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 30/10, 11:00

Prediction: Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk

Team pages: Ahrobiznes Volochysk · Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.51Total

Ahrobiznes Volochysk1.34

Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk1.18

1X2

39% 29% 32%

Ahrobiznes Volochysk Draw Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Ahrobiznes Volochysk 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWLWDWWW

Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLDLLD

Head-to-head

Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2–2–2 Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk (6 last)

Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk1-1Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Ahrobiznes Volochysk3-1Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0-1Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk0-1Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk2-0Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Ahrobiznes Volochysk1-1Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1567 · Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 1475

	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	Draw	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
Our model	39%	29%	31%
Market	40%	29%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ahrobiznes Volochysk (rating 1567 vs 1475).
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.1	1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.5	3.2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.10

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 10:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.34 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.40 → 2.80▼	Pinn 2.82

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:55 +19’	2.00	3.10	3.40
16:04 +3’	1.85▼	3.20▲	3.80▲
16:57 +9’	2.00▲	3.20	3.30▼
10:01 +1’	2.25▲	3.10▼	2.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:02 +5’	1.79	3.31	3.87
16:53 +12’	2.06▲	3.08▼	3.25▼
21:21 +45’	2.04▼	3.15▲	3.23▼
09:45 +17’	2.34▲	3.10▼	2.82▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2–2–2 Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Ukraine Persha Liga	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk	1-1 HT 0-1	Ahrobiznes Volochysk
03/11/25 Ukraine Persha Liga	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	3-1 HT 1-1	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
19/10/24 Ukraine Persha Liga	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0-1 HT 0-1	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
31/08/24 Ukraine Persha Liga	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk	0-1 HT 0-1	Ahrobiznes Volochysk
24/11/23 Ukraine Persha Liga	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk	2-0 HT 1-0	Ahrobiznes Volochysk
23/09/23 Ukraine Persha Liga	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	1-1 HT 0-0	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk

Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Viktoriya Sumy	13	7	4	2	17	10	25
2	SC Poltava	13	7	3	3	24	11	24
3	FSC Feniks-Mariupol	13	7	3	3	20	13	24
4	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	12	7	2	3	19	14	23
5	PFC Oleksandria	13	6	5	2	19	11	23
6	FK Kulykiv-Bilka	13	6	3	4	26	17	21
7	Nyva Ternopil	13	4	6	3	15	11	18
8	Lokomotiv Kyiv	13	4	5	4	17	16	17
9	Ingulets Petrovo	12	5	2	5	13	16	17
10	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk	13	4	4	5	13	15	16
11	FC Metalist Kharkiv	13	4	3	6	13	16	15
12	UCSA	13	3	5	5	18	21	14
13	Kolos Kovalivka II	13	4	1	8	12	22	13
14	FC Chernigiv	11	2	4	5	12	16	10
15	FC Probiy Horodenka	13	2	3	8	12	32	9
16	Polissya Zhytomyr II	13	1	5	7	18	27	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
FC Metalist Kharkiv	1-0 W	0-0 D
Ingulets Petrovo	1-0 W	1-2 L
UCSA	3-2 W	1-0 W
Nyva Ternopil	0-0 D	2-1 W
PFC Oleksandria	1-0 W	0-0 D
Polissya Zhytomyr II	2-3 L	2-1 W
FC Probiy Horodenka	6-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ahrobiznes Volochysk (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ahrobiznes Volochysk

WDLWLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
10/10	Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
04/10	UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga	2-1	3-2	9	3	W
27/09	Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
20/09	PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
14/09	Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga	1-1	2-3	4	5	L
05/09	FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga	2-0	6-0	1	0	W
30/08	FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga	0-2	1-5	–	–	L
14/08	Lokomotiv Kyiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Kolos Kovalivka II Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk

WWDWWLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
17/10	SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
11/10	FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-1	10	2	L
03/10	FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
26/09	Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
20/09	UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
13/09	Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	2-1	6	7	W
05/09	PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
29/08	Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
14/08	FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ahrobiznes Volochysk win (39%). Probabilities: Ahrobiznes Volochysk 39%, draw 29%, Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 32%.

How many goals are expected in Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk?

The model expects 2.51 goals (Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1.34 · Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 1.18), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.