Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 07/11, 12:00

Prediction: Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk vs FSC Feniks-Mariupol

Team pages: Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk · FSC Feniks-Mariupol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.17Total

Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk1.06

FSC Feniks-Mariupol1.11

1X2

34% 30% 36%

Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Draw FSC Feniks-Mariupol

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDWWLDLLDL

FSC Feniks-Mariupol 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWWDDWWW

Head-to-head

Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 4–2–0 FSC Feniks-Mariupol (6 last)

Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk3-0FSC Feniks-Mariupol
FSC Feniks-Mariupol0-2Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
FSC Feniks-Mariupol2-3Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk0-0FSC Feniks-Mariupol
Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk1-0FSC Feniks-Mariupol
FSC Feniks-Mariupol1-1Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 1472 · FSC Feniks-Mariupol 1566

	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk	Draw	FSC Feniks-Mariupol
Our model	33%	32%	35%
Market	34%	29%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FSC Feniks-Mariupol (rating 1472 vs 1566).
H2H favours Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk	FSC Feniks-Mariupol
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.3	2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5	1.8 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.10

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:14 +3’	2.60	3.10	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 4–2–0 FSC Feniks-Mariupol

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/11/25 Ukraine Persha Liga	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk	3-0 HT 1-0	FSC Feniks-Mariupol
11/08/25 Ukraine Persha Liga	FSC Feniks-Mariupol	0-2 HT 0-2	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
03/05/25 Ukraine Persha Liga	FSC Feniks-Mariupol	2-3 HT 0-0	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
30/03/25 Ukraine Persha Liga	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk	0-0 HT 0-0	FSC Feniks-Mariupol
04/05/24 Ukraine Persha Liga	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk	1-0 HT 0-0	FSC Feniks-Mariupol
29/03/24 Ukraine Persha Liga	FSC Feniks-Mariupol	1-1 HT 1-1	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk

Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Viktoriya Sumy	14	8	4	2	19	11	28
2	FSC Feniks-Mariupol	14	8	3	3	23	14	27
3	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	13	8	2	3	22	14	26
4	FK Kulykiv-Bilka	14	7	3	4	28	17	24
5	PFC Oleksandria	14	6	6	2	19	11	24
6	SC Poltava	14	7	3	4	25	13	24
7	Lokomotiv Kyiv	14	5	5	4	19	17	20
8	Nyva Ternopil	14	4	7	3	17	13	19
9	FC Metalist Kharkiv	14	5	3	6	17	16	18
10	Ingulets Petrovo	13	5	2	6	14	18	17
11	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk	14	4	4	6	13	18	16
12	UCSA	14	3	5	6	18	23	14
13	Kolos Kovalivka II	14	4	1	9	12	26	13
14	FC Chernigiv	12	2	4	6	13	19	10
15	FC Probiy Horodenka	14	2	4	8	14	34	10
16	Polissya Zhytomyr II	14	1	6	7	18	27	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk	FSC Feniks-Mariupol
FC Metalist Kharkiv	0-0 D	2-0 W
Ingulets Petrovo	1-2 L	4-1 W
UCSA	1-0 W	2-1 W
Nyva Ternopil	2-1 W	0-0 D
PFC Oleksandria	0-0 D	1-1 D
Polissya Zhytomyr II	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FSC Feniks-Mariupol (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk

WDWWLDLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	0-3	3	6	L
24/10	FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
17/10	SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
11/10	FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-1	10	2	L
03/10	FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
26/09	Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
20/09	UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
13/09	Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	2-1	6	7	W
05/09	PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
29/08	Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W

FSC Feniks-Mariupol

WWDWWDDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
17/10	Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
11/10	UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	2-1	4	2	W
05/10	Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
27/09	PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	1-1	8	1	D
20/09	Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
13/09	FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
05/09	FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
28/08	Lokomotiv Kyiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	3-1	2	5	W
16/08	Kolos Kovalivka II Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk vs FSC Feniks-Mariupol?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FSC Feniks-Mariupol win (36%). Probabilities: Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 34%, draw 30%, FSC Feniks-Mariupol 36%.

How many goals are expected in Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk vs FSC Feniks-Mariupol?

The model expects 2.17 goals (Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 1.06 · FSC Feniks-Mariupol 1.11), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk vs FSC Feniks-Mariupol?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.