Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 25/10, 13:30

Prediction: Nyva Ternopil vs FK Kulykiv-Bilka

Team pages: Nyva Ternopil · FK Kulykiv-Bilka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

Nyva Ternopil1.18

FK Kulykiv-Bilka1.24

1X2

34% 29% 37%

Nyva Ternopil Draw FK Kulykiv-Bilka

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Nyva Ternopil 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWDLLWDDWD

FK Kulykiv-Bilka 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDWLWLWD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nyva Ternopil 1494 · FK Kulykiv-Bilka 1517

	Nyva Ternopil	Draw	FK Kulykiv-Bilka
Our model	33%	30%	36%
Market	35%	28%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nyva Ternopil	FK Kulykiv-Bilka
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.8	2.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.1	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.4	3.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.20

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
21:35 +5’	2.60	3.20	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Viktoriya Sumy	13	7	4	2	17	10	25
2	SC Poltava	13	7	3	3	24	11	24
3	FSC Feniks-Mariupol	13	7	3	3	20	13	24
4	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	12	7	2	3	19	14	23
5	PFC Oleksandria	13	6	5	2	19	11	23
6	FK Kulykiv-Bilka	12	6	3	3	25	14	21
7	Lokomotiv Kyiv	12	4	5	3	15	13	17
8	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk	13	4	4	5	13	15	16
9	Nyva Ternopil	12	3	6	3	12	10	15
10	FC Metalist Kharkiv	13	4	3	6	13	16	15
11	Ingulets Petrovo	11	4	2	5	11	16	14
12	Kolos Kovalivka II	12	4	1	7	12	20	13
13	UCSA	12	2	5	5	15	19	11
14	FC Chernigiv	11	2	4	5	12	16	10
15	FC Probiy Horodenka	13	2	3	8	12	32	9
16	Polissya Zhytomyr II	13	1	5	7	18	27	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nyva Ternopil	FK Kulykiv-Bilka
Lokomotiv Kyiv	0-0 D	0-1 L
Kolos Kovalivka II	3-1 W	5-0 W
FSC Feniks-Mariupol	0-0 D	1-1 D
Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0-0 D	5-1 W
FC Viktoriya Sumy	3-1 W	1-2 L
Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Kulykiv-Bilka (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nyva Ternopil

LWDLLWDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Lokomotiv Kyiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
11/10	Kolos Kovalivka II Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	3-1	9	2	W
05/10	FSC Feniks-Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
27/09	Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
21/09	FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga	2-0	3-1	2	1	W
13/09	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	1-2	3	7	L
05/09	FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
30/08	FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
16/08	Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
07/08	UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-1	6	5	L

FK Kulykiv-Bilka

WLWDWLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
12/10	Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga	4-1	4-2	5	4	W
04/10	FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	1-2	7	4	L
26/09	SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
20/09	Lokomotiv Kyiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	Kolos Kovalivka II Ukraine Persha Liga	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
05/09	FSC Feniks-Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
30/08	Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga	2-0	5-1	–	–	W
15/08	FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
08/08	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	2-1	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nyva Ternopil vs FK Kulykiv-Bilka?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Kulykiv-Bilka win (37%). Probabilities: Nyva Ternopil 34%, draw 29%, FK Kulykiv-Bilka 37%.

How many goals are expected in Nyva Ternopil vs FK Kulykiv-Bilka?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Nyva Ternopil 1.18 · FK Kulykiv-Bilka 1.24), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nyva Ternopil vs FK Kulykiv-Bilka?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.