Prediction: UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv
Team pages: UCSA · Lokomotiv Kyiv
| UCSA | Draw | Lokomotiv Kyiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 31% | 39% |
| Market | 31% | 28% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lokomotiv Kyiv (rating 1445 vs 1507).
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UCSA | Lokomotiv Kyiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.9 | 2.6 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 25 |
| 2 | SC Poltava | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | PFC Oleksandria | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 21 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 17 |
| 8 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 16 |
| 9 | Nyva Ternopil | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 15 |
| 11 | Ingulets Petrovo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 14 |
| 12 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 13 |
| 13 | UCSA | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 11 |
| 14 | FC Chernigiv | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 15 | FC Probiy Horodenka | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 9 |
| 16 | Polissya Zhytomyr II | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UCSA | Lokomotiv Kyiv |
|---|---|---|
| Kolos Kovalivka II | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| FC Viktoriya Sumy | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| SC Poltava | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Nyva Ternopil | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: UCSA (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UCSA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Kolos Kovalivka II Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/10 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/09 | FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 07/08 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Lokomotiv Kyiv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 11/10 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 26/09 | FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 04/09 | Kolos Kovalivka II Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lokomotiv Kyiv win (40%). Probabilities: UCSA 31%, draw 30%, Lokomotiv Kyiv 40%.
How many goals are expected in UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
The model expects 2.27 goals (UCSA 1.04 · Lokomotiv Kyiv 1.22), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.