Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 07/11, 11:00

Prediction: FC Metalist Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv

Team pages: FC Metalist Kharkiv · Lokomotiv Kyiv

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
FC Metalist Kharkiv1.17
Lokomotiv Kyiv1.17
1X2
35% 30% 35%
FC Metalist Kharkiv Draw Lokomotiv Kyiv
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Metalist Kharkiv 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWLLWDDLLW
Lokomotiv Kyiv 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LLWWWDWDLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Metalist Kharkiv 1533 · Lokomotiv Kyiv 1522
FC Metalist KharkivDrawLokomotiv Kyiv
Our model35%31%35%
Market36%29%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Metalist KharkivLokomotiv Kyiv
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.11.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.50.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.92.9 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.14.3 / 0.4

Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Viktoriya Sumy 14842 191128
2 FSC Feniks-Mariupol 14833 231427
3 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 13823 221426
4 FK Kulykiv-Bilka 14734 281724
5 PFC Oleksandria 14662 191124
6 SC Poltava 14734 251324
7 Lokomotiv Kyiv 14554 191720
8 Nyva Ternopil 14473 171319
9 FC Metalist Kharkiv 14536 171618
10 Ingulets Petrovo 13526 141817
11 Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 14446 131816
12 UCSA 14356 182314
13 Kolos Kovalivka II 14419 122613
14 FC Chernigiv 12246 131910
15 FC Probiy Horodenka 14248 143410
16 Polissya Zhytomyr II 14167 18279

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Metalist KharkivLokomotiv Kyiv
Kolos Kovalivka II 4-0 W 0-1 L
FSC Feniks-Mariupol 0-2 L 1-3 L
SC Poltava 0-3 L 2-1 W
Ingulets Petrovo 0-1 L 2-1 W
UCSA 3-1 W 2-3 L
Nyva Ternopil 1-1 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Metalist Kharkiv

DWLLWDDLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/11 Kolos Kovalivka II
Ukraine Persha Liga
2-0 4-0 76 W
23/10 FSC Feniks-Mariupol
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 0-2 43 L
17/10 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 0-1 66 L
09/10 FC Viktoriya Sumy
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-1 2-2 43 D
03/10 Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 0-0 34 D
27/09 FC Chernigiv
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 2-0 43 W
20/09 SC Poltava
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-2 0-3 –– L
12/09 Ingulets Petrovo
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-1 0-1 –– L
05/09 UCSA
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-1 3-1 64 W
30/08 Nyva Ternopil
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 1-1 –– D

Lokomotiv Kyiv

LLWWWDWDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Ingulets Petrovo
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-1 2-1 99 W
25/10 UCSA
Ukraine Persha Liga
2-2 2-3 66 L
18/10 Nyva Ternopil
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 0-0 52 D
11/10 PFC Oleksandria
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 3-1 42 W
03/10 Polissya Zhytomyr II
Ukraine Persha Liga
2-1 3-3 32 D
26/09 FC Probiy Horodenka
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-0 2-0 –– W
20/09 FK Kulykiv-Bilka
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 1-0 –– W
12/09 SC Poltava
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-1 2-1 67 W
04/09 Kolos Kovalivka II
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 0-1 64 L
28/08 FSC Feniks-Mariupol
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-0 1-3 05 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Metalist Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Metalist Kharkiv win (35%). Probabilities: FC Metalist Kharkiv 35%, draw 30%, Lokomotiv Kyiv 35%.

How many goals are expected in FC Metalist Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?

The model expects 2.34 goals (FC Metalist Kharkiv 1.17 · Lokomotiv Kyiv 1.17), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Metalist Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.