Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · 29/08, 19:15

Prediction: Zamora CF vs Athletic Bilbao B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

Zamora CF1.37

Athletic Bilbao B1.01

1X2

44% 30% 26%

Zamora CF Draw Athletic Bilbao B

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Zamora CF 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWWWLL

Athletic Bilbao B 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLLDDLWL

Head-to-head

Zamora CF 1–1–4 Athletic Bilbao B (6 last)

Athletic Bilbao B1-0Zamora CF
Zamora CF4-1Athletic Bilbao B
Zamora CF0-2Athletic Bilbao B
Athletic Bilbao B3-3Zamora CF
Athletic Bilbao B1-0Zamora CF
Zamora CF0-1Athletic Bilbao B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zamora CF 1542 · Athletic Bilbao B 1503

	Zamora CF	Draw	Athletic Bilbao B
Our model	44%	30%	26%
Market	44%	30%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Athletic Bilbao B: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zamora CF	Athletic Bilbao B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.1	0.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6	2.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.00

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:08 +3’	2.05	3.00	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zamora CF 1–1–4 Athletic Bilbao B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Athletic Bilbao B	1-0 HT 1-0	Zamora CF
26/10/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Zamora CF	4-1 HT 2-0	Athletic Bilbao B
01/02/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Zamora CF	0-2 HT 0-1	Athletic Bilbao B
07/09/24 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Athletic Bilbao B	3-3 HT 0-0	Zamora CF
12/02/22 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Athletic Bilbao B	1-0 HT 0-0	Zamora CF
29/08/21 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Zamora CF	0-1 HT 0-0	Athletic Bilbao B

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Arenas Club de Getxo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Athletic Bilbao B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Barakaldo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Coria	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Extremadura	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lugo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mirandes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cacereno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cultural Leonesa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Merida	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pontevedra	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Racing Ferrol	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Deportivo Fabril	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Aviles CF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Unión	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ponferradina	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	UD Logrones	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	UD Ourense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Zamora CF	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zamora CF	Athletic Bilbao B
Cacereno	1-2 L	0-1 L
Ponferradina	3-0 W	0-1 L
Ourense	2-1 W	2-2 D
CF Talavera	1-0 W	1-2 L
Unionistas de Salamanca CF	2-3 L	1-1 D
Pontevedra	2-1 W	0-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Zamora CF (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zamora CF

DWLWWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	Arenas Club de Getxo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
17/05	Cacereno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	1-2	6	1	L
10/05	Lugo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	3-1	12	7	W
02/05	Ponferradina Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	3-0	6	10	W
26/04	Ourense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	2-1	3	6	W
19/04	Osasuna B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
12/04	CF Talavera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
05/04	Unionistas de Salamanca CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	2-3	6	6	L
28/03	Pontevedra Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	2-1	8	7	W
21/03	Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	2-2	4	4	D

Athletic Bilbao B

DLLLLDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	Ponferradina Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
17/05	CD Guadalajara Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
09/05	Pontevedra Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-2	0-4	2	2	L
03/05	Ourense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	2-2	6	6	D
26/04	Unionistas de Salamanca CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-1	3	8	D
19/04	Racing Ferrol Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-1	3	8	L
10/04	Cacereno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-1	11	2	L
04/04	CF Talavera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
29/03	Celta Fortuna Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-2	2	3	L
20/03	Merida Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	1-1	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zamora CF vs Athletic Bilbao B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zamora CF win (44%). Probabilities: Zamora CF 44%, draw 30%, Athletic Bilbao B 26%.

How many goals are expected in Zamora CF vs Athletic Bilbao B?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Zamora CF 1.37 · Athletic Bilbao B 1.01), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Zamora CF vs Athletic Bilbao B?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.