Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · 05/09, 18:45
Prediction: Pontevedra vs Arenas Club de Getxo
Team pages: Pontevedra · Arenas Club de Getxo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Pontevedra1.62
Arenas Club de Getxo1.01
1X2
Pontevedra
Draw
Arenas Club de Getxo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Pontevedra
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Arenas Club de Getxo
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pontevedra
1–1
Arenas Club de Getxo
(2 last)
- Arenas Club de Getxo1-0Pontevedra
- Pontevedra2-0Arenas Club de Getxo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pontevedra 1531 · Arenas Club de Getxo 1502
| Pontevedra | Draw | Arenas Club de Getxo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 22% |
| Market | 50% | 28% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pontevedra | Arenas Club de Getxo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.4 | 2.9 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pontevedra 1–0–1 Arenas Club de Getxo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 | Arenas Club de Getxo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Pontevedra |
| 14/12/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 | Pontevedra | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Arenas Club de Getxo |
Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Unión | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Lugo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | UD Logrones | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Cacereno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Merida | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Pontevedra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Ponferradina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Arenas Club de Getxo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Racing Ferrol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Zamora CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Barakaldo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Cultural Leonesa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | CD Extremadura | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Mirandes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Deportivo Fabril | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Real Aviles CF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | UD Ourense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Unionistas de Salamanca CF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 | CD Coria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pontevedra | Arenas Club de Getxo |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Racing Ferrol | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Celta Fortuna | 1-1 D | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pontevedra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Real Aviles CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | Real Aviles CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | Tenerife Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Athletic Bilbao B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Racing Ferrol Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 25/04 | Celta Fortuna Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | CD Guadalajara Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Ponferradina Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/04 | Arenas Club de Getxo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Barakaldo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Arenas Club de Getxo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Racing Ferrol Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Zamora CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 08/05 | Racing Ferrol Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 02/05 | CF Talavera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 24/04 | Merida Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Tenerife Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Celta Fortuna Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 08/04 | Pontevedra Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/04 | CD Arenteiro Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pontevedra vs Arenas Club de Getxo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pontevedra win (50%). Probabilities: Pontevedra 50%, draw 28%, Arenas Club de Getxo 22%.
How many goals are expected in Pontevedra vs Arenas Club de Getxo?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Pontevedra 1.62 · Arenas Club de Getxo 1.01), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Pontevedra vs Arenas Club de Getxo?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.