Prediction: Sorrento vs Fremantle City FC
Expected goals: 3.15 (Sorrento 1.26 · Fremantle City FC 1.89). The model gives 25% home, 24% draw, 51% away. Over 3 goals (51%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Sorrento is 3-0-7 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Fremantle City FC 5-4-1 over its own. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Sorrento won 3 and Fremantle City FC 1, with 1 draw.
| Sorrento | Draw | Fremantle City FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 24% | 51% |
| Market | 25% | 23% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fremantle City FC (rating 1441 vs 1544).
- H2H favours Sorrento: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sorrento | Fremantle City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.9 | 2.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.7 | 2.1 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sorrento 3–1–1 Fremantle City FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Fremantle City FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sorrento |
| 12/07/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Sorrento | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Fremantle City FC |
| 19/04/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Fremantle City FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sorrento |
| 11/05/24 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying | Fremantle City FC | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Sorrento |
| 03/06/19 Australia FFA Cup | Fremantle City FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sorrento |
Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayswater City | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 23 | 34 |
| 2 | Perth RedStar FC | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 34 |
| 3 | Olympic Kingsway | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 23 | 33 |
| 4 | Perth SC | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 31 | 30 |
| 5 | Fremantle City FC | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 33 | 27 | 25 |
| 6 | Stirling Macedonia | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 27 | 23 |
| 7 | Western Knights | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 22 |
| 8 | Dianella White Eagles | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 20 |
| 9 | Sorrento | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 29 | 20 |
| 10 | Armadale | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 45 | 15 |
| 11 | Perth Glory NPL | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | 13 |
| 12 | Balcatta | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 49 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sorrento | Fremantle City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Western Knights | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Dianella White Eagles | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Armadale | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Balcatta | 3-0 W | 5-2 W |
| Bayswater City | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Olympic Kingsway | 1-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Perth SC | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Perth RedStar FC | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 7 L | 4 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Fremantle City FC (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sorrento
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
Fremantle City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | D |
| 27/06 | Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/06 | Olympic Kingsway Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League |
3-1 | 5-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-2 | 4-3 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 08/05 | Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sorrento vs Fremantle City FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Fremantle City FC win (51%). Probabilities: Sorrento 25%, draw 24%, Fremantle City FC 51%.
How many goals are expected in Sorrento vs Fremantle City FC?
The model expects 3.15 goals (Sorrento 1.26 · Fremantle City FC 1.89), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sorrento vs Fremantle City FC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.