Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 18/07, 09:00

Prediction: Perth RedStar FC vs Fremantle City FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Perth RedStar FC1.92

Fremantle City FC1.28

1X2

52% 24% 25%

Perth RedStar FC Draw Fremantle City FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Perth RedStar FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Fremantle City FC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Perth RedStar FC 2–2–2 Fremantle City FC (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Perth RedStar FC 1582 · Fremantle City FC 1542

	Perth RedStar FC	Draw	Fremantle City FC
Our model	51%	24%	24%
Market	52%	23%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Perth RedStar FC (rating 1582 vs 1542).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Perth RedStar FC	Fremantle City FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.3	2.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	1.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	2.3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	1.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth RedStar FC 2–2–2 Fremantle City FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Fremantle City FC	2-2 HT 0-2	Perth RedStar FC
08/02/26 Australia Friendlies	Perth RedStar FC	3-1 HT 1-1	Fremantle City FC
26/07/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth RedStar FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Fremantle City FC
10/05/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Fremantle City FC	4-2 HT 0-2	Perth RedStar FC
20/07/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Fremantle City FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Perth RedStar FC
20/04/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth RedStar FC	2-3 HT 1-1	Fremantle City FC

Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Perth RedStar FC	17	11	4	2	29	20	37
2	Bayswater City	17	10	4	3	42	23	34
3	Olympic Kingsway	17	10	3	4	37	25	33
4	Perth SC	17	8	6	3	40	31	30
5	Fremantle City FC	18	7	7	4	35	27	28
6	Stirling Macedonia	17	7	2	8	32	27	23
7	Western Knights	17	6	4	7	31	30	22
8	Dianella White Eagles	17	5	5	7	28	31	20
9	Sorrento	18	6	2	10	18	31	20
10	Armadale	17	4	3	10	31	45	15
11	Perth Glory NPL	17	3	4	10	28	36	13
12	Balcatta	17	3	2	12	24	49	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Perth RedStar FC	Fremantle City FC
Olympic Kingsway	2-1 W	3-1 W
Bayswater City	0-3 L	1-1 D
Perth Glory NPL	2-1 W	4-3 W
Western Knights	2-1 W	3-0 W
Armadale	1-0 W	1-2 L
Sorrento	4-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Fremantle City FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Perth RedStar FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	2-1	3	1	W
04/07	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
26/06	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-3	5	1	L
20/06	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	2-1	9	5	W
16/06	Bayswater City Australia Cup Qualifying	2-0	2-3	7	1	L
06/06	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	2-1	10	1	W
30/05	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	2-2	2	2	D
22/05	Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
16/05	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
08/05	Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	4-1	2	3	W

Fremantle City FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	2-0	0	0	W
04/07	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-1	11	0	D
27/06	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	3-0	7	5	W
20/06	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
16/06	Olympic Kingsway Australia Cup Qualifying	1-1	3-1	6	1	W
13/06	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	3-1	5-2	4	2	W
06/06	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
30/05	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-2	2-2	6	2	D
23/05	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	4-3	8	2	W
16/05	Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-2	2-2	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Perth RedStar FC vs Fremantle City FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Perth RedStar FC win (52%). Probabilities: Perth RedStar FC 52%, draw 24%, Fremantle City FC 25%.

How many goals are expected in Perth RedStar FC vs Fremantle City FC?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Perth RedStar FC 1.92 · Fremantle City FC 1.28), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Perth RedStar FC vs Fremantle City FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.