Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 18/07, 09:00
Prediction: Balcatta vs Stirling Macedonia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.74Total
Balcatta1.57
Stirling Macedonia2.17
1X2
Balcatta
Draw
Stirling Macedonia
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Balcatta
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Stirling Macedonia
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Balcatta
0–1–5
Stirling Macedonia
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Balcatta 1442 · Stirling Macedonia 1491
| Balcatta | Draw | Stirling Macedonia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 22% | 51% |
| Market | 26% | 24% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stirling Macedonia (rating 1442 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Stirling Macedonia: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Balcatta | Stirling Macedonia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.9 | 1.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/30/70% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.8 | 2.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Balcatta 0–1–5 Stirling Macedonia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Stirling Macedonia | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Balcatta |
| 01/02/26 Australia Friendlies | Stirling Macedonia | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Balcatta |
| 12/07/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Stirling Macedonia | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Balcatta |
| 19/04/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Balcatta | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Stirling Macedonia |
| 10/08/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Stirling Macedonia | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Balcatta |
| 18/05/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Balcatta | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Stirling Macedonia |
Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perth RedStar FC | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 37 |
| 2 | Bayswater City | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 23 | 34 |
| 3 | Olympic Kingsway | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 25 | 33 |
| 4 | Perth SC | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 31 | 30 |
| 5 | Fremantle City FC | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 27 | 28 |
| 6 | Stirling Macedonia | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 27 | 23 |
| 7 | Western Knights | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 22 |
| 8 | Dianella White Eagles | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 20 |
| 9 | Sorrento | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 31 | 20 |
| 10 | Armadale | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 45 | 15 |
| 11 | Perth Glory NPL | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | 13 |
| 12 | Balcatta | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 49 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Balcatta | Stirling Macedonia |
|---|---|---|
| Perth Glory NPL | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Olympic Kingsway | 4-5 L | 3-0 W |
| Perth SC | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Sorrento | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Western Knights | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Dianella White Eagles | 3-2 W | 3-4 L |
| Armadale | 0-5 L | 4-2 W |
| Perth RedStar FC | 2-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Stirling Macedonia (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Balcatta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 20/06 | Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
Stirling Macedonia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 05/06 | Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
3-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 30/05 | Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Balcatta vs Stirling Macedonia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Stirling Macedonia win (50%). Probabilities: Balcatta 27%, draw 23%, Stirling Macedonia 50%.
How many goals are expected in Balcatta vs Stirling Macedonia?
The model expects 3.74 goals (Balcatta 1.57 · Stirling Macedonia 2.17), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Balcatta vs Stirling Macedonia?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.