Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 11/07, 09:00

Prediction: Olympic Kingsway vs Perth RedStar FC

Expected goals: 3.38 (Olympic Kingsway 1.87 · Perth RedStar FC 1.51). The model gives 45% home, 25% draw, 30% away. Under 3.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Olympic Kingsway is 6-1-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Perth RedStar FC 6-2-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Olympic Kingsway won 0 and Perth RedStar FC 1, with 5 draws.

45%1
45% 25% 30%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Olympic Kingsway 1541 · Perth RedStar FC 1546
Olympic KingswayDrawPerth RedStar FC
Our model45%24%30%
Market45%25%30%
Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.38Olympic Kingsway 1.87 · Perth RedStar FC 1.51
Over / Under 3.25Under 3.25 · 51%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Olympic KingswayPerth RedStar FC
Goals for / against (FT)2.7 / 21.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 11 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.42.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.42.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Olympic Kingsway 051 Perth RedStar FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/03/26
Australia Western Australia Premier League
Perth RedStar FC0-0
HT 0-0
Olympic Kingsway
05/07/25
Australia Western Australia Premier League
Olympic Kingsway0-0
HT 0-0
Perth RedStar FC
05/04/25
Australia Western Australia Premier League
Perth RedStar FC3-1
HT 2-0
Olympic Kingsway
14/09/24
Australia Western Australia Premier League
Olympic Kingsway0-0
HT 0-0
Perth RedStar FC
07/09/24
Australia WA State League Cup
Olympic Kingsway2-2
HT 1-2
Perth RedStar FC
06/07/24
Australia Western Australia Premier League
Olympic Kingsway2-2
HT 1-1
Perth RedStar FC

Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Bayswater City 171043 422334
2 Perth RedStar FC 161042 271934
3 Olympic Kingsway 161033 362333
4 Perth SC 17863 403130
5 Fremantle City FC 17674 332725
6 Stirling Macedonia 17728 322723
7 Western Knights 17647 313022
8 Dianella White Eagles 17557 283120
9 Sorrento 17629 182920
10 Armadale 174310 314515
11 Perth Glory NPL 173410 283613
12 Balcatta 173212 244911

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOlympic KingswayPerth RedStar FC
Armadale 6-1 W 1-0 W
Stirling Macedonia 0-3 L 1-0 W
Fremantle City FC 1-3 L 2-2 D
Perth Glory NPL 2-1 W 2-1 W
Sorrento 4-1 W 4-1 W
Bayswater City 2-3 L 0-3 L
Western Knights 2-1 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 3 L 5 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Olympic Kingsway

WLDWWWLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Armadale
Australia Western Australia Premier League
2-0 6-1 12 W
27/06 Balcatta
Australia Western Australia Premier League
3-2 5-4 70 W
20/06 Stirling Macedonia
Australia Western Australia Premier League
0-2 0-3 56 L
16/06 Fremantle City FC
Australia Cup Qualifying
1-1 1-3 51 L
06/06 Perth Glory NPL
Australia Western Australia Premier League
2-1 2-1 15 W
29/05 Dianella White Eagles
Australia Western Australia Premier League
1-1 3-1 54 W
23/05 Sorrento
Australia Western Australia Premier League
1-0 4-1 33 W
16/05 Fremantle City FC
Australia Western Australia Premier League
2-1 2-2 23 D
08/05 Bayswater City
Australia Western Australia Premier League
1-2 2-3 25 L
25/04 Western Knights
Australia Western Australia Premier League
0-0 2-1 34 W

Perth RedStar FC

WWWDDWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Stirling Macedonia
Australia Western Australia Premier League
0-0 1-0 70 W
26/06 Bayswater City
Australia Western Australia Premier League
0-0 0-3 51 L
20/06 Perth Glory NPL
Australia Western Australia Premier League
1-1 2-1 95 W
16/06 Bayswater City
Australia Cup Qualifying
2-0 2-3 71 L
06/06 Western Knights
Australia Western Australia Premier League
0-0 2-1 101 W
30/05 Fremantle City FC
Australia Western Australia Premier League
2-0 2-2 22 D
22/05 Perth SC
Australia Western Australia Premier League
1-1 1-1 43 D
16/05 Armadale
Australia Western Australia Premier League
1-0 1-0 15 W
08/05 Sorrento
Australia Western Australia Premier League
2-0 4-1 23 W
01/05 Inglewood United
Australia Cup Qualifying
1-0 3-0 11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Olympic Kingsway vs Perth RedStar FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Olympic Kingsway win (45%). Probabilities: Olympic Kingsway 45%, draw 25%, Perth RedStar FC 30%.

How many goals are expected in Olympic Kingsway vs Perth RedStar FC?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Olympic Kingsway 1.87 · Perth RedStar FC 1.51), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Olympic Kingsway vs Perth RedStar FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.