Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 18/07, 09:00

Prediction: Perth Glory NPL vs Armadale

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.01Total

Perth Glory NPL2.03

Armadale1.99

1X2

39% 23% 38%

Perth Glory NPL Draw Armadale

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Perth Glory NPL 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Armadale 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Perth Glory NPL 3–1–2 Armadale (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Perth Glory NPL 1443 · Armadale 1465

	Perth Glory NPL	Draw	Armadale
Our model	40%	22%	38%
Market	39%	24%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 4.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Perth Glory NPL: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Perth Glory NPL	Armadale
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.2	1.9 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1.1	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 2.9	3.3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	2.4 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth Glory NPL 3–1–2 Armadale

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Armadale	3-2 HT 2-2	Perth Glory NPL
26/07/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth Glory NPL	2-1 HT 2-1	Armadale
10/05/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Armadale	2-2 HT 1-1	Perth Glory NPL
23/02/25 Australia Friendlies	Armadale	1-4 HT 0-0	Perth Glory NPL
06/07/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Armadale	6-3 HT 4-2	Perth Glory NPL
06/04/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth Glory NPL	4-3 HT 2-1	Armadale

Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Perth RedStar FC	17	11	4	2	29	20	37
2	Bayswater City	17	10	4	3	42	23	34
3	Olympic Kingsway	17	10	3	4	37	25	33
4	Perth SC	17	8	6	3	40	31	30
5	Fremantle City FC	18	7	7	4	35	27	28
6	Stirling Macedonia	17	7	2	8	32	27	23
7	Western Knights	17	6	4	7	31	30	22
8	Dianella White Eagles	17	5	5	7	28	31	20
9	Sorrento	18	6	2	10	18	31	20
10	Armadale	17	4	3	10	31	45	15
11	Perth Glory NPL	17	3	4	10	28	36	13
12	Balcatta	17	3	2	12	24	49	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Perth Glory NPL	Armadale
Balcatta	1-3 L	5-0 W
Stirling Macedonia	1-1 D	2-4 L
Perth RedStar FC	1-2 L	0-1 L
Perth SC	2-4 L	1-4 L
Olympic Kingsway	1-2 L	1-6 L
Fremantle City FC	3-4 L	2-1 W
Bayswater City	1-0 W	0-5 L
Dianella White Eagles	2-2 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Perth Glory NPL (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Perth Glory NPL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
27/06	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
20/06	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
13/06	Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-1	2-4	1	0	L
06/06	Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-2	1-2	3	5	L
30/05	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	2-3	2	2	L
23/05	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	3-4	1	2	L
16/05	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
09/05	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-1	3-1	5	3	W
25/04	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	2-2	6	6	D

Armadale

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-2	1-6	8	2	L
27/06	Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-2	1-4	5	5	L
20/06	Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
13/06	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	0-5	3	1	L
06/06	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
30/05	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	3-2	10	2	W
23/05	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	2-2	4	1	D
16/05	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
09/05	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	5-0	5	6	W
25/04	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-1	2-4	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Perth Glory NPL vs Armadale?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Perth Glory NPL win (39%). Probabilities: Perth Glory NPL 39%, draw 23%, Armadale 38%.

How many goals are expected in Perth Glory NPL vs Armadale?

The model expects 4.01 goals (Perth Glory NPL 2.03 · Armadale 1.99), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Perth Glory NPL vs Armadale?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.