Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 17/07, 13:00

Prediction: Perth SC vs Western Knights

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.7Total

Perth SC2.25

Western Knights1.44

1X2

55% 21% 24%

Perth SC Draw Western Knights

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Perth SC 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

LDWDWDWDWD

Western Knights 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLWDLLLDLW

Head-to-head

Perth SC 3–1–2 Western Knights (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Perth SC 1554 · Western Knights 1466

	Perth SC	Draw	Western Knights
Our model	55%	22%	23%
Market	55%	21%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Perth SC (rating 1554 vs 1466).
H2H favours Perth SC: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Perth SC	Western Knights
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.8	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1.3	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.8	2.8 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth SC 3–1–2 Western Knights

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Western Knights	3-4 HT 2-2	Perth SC
23/01/26 Australia Friendlies	Perth SC	1-0 HT 1-0	Western Knights
26/07/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Western Knights	4-1 HT 4-1	Perth SC
09/05/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth SC	3-3 HT 1-1	Western Knights
14/02/25 Australia Friendlies	Perth SC	2-3 HT 2-1	Western Knights
15/06/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth SC	2-1 HT 1-0	Western Knights

Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Perth RedStar FC	17	11	4	2	29	20	37
2	Bayswater City	17	10	4	3	42	23	34
3	Olympic Kingsway	17	10	3	4	37	25	33
4	Perth SC	17	8	6	3	40	31	30
5	Fremantle City FC	18	7	7	4	35	27	28
6	Stirling Macedonia	17	7	2	8	32	27	23
7	Western Knights	17	6	4	7	31	30	22
8	Dianella White Eagles	17	5	5	7	28	31	20
9	Sorrento	18	6	2	10	18	31	20
10	Armadale	17	4	3	10	31	45	15
11	Perth Glory NPL	17	3	4	10	28	36	13
12	Balcatta	17	3	2	12	24	49	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Perth SC	Western Knights
Dianella White Eagles	2-2 D	0-1 L
Balcatta	1-1 D	0-0 D
Perth Glory NPL	4-2 W	1-3 L
Stirling Macedonia	3-3 D	2-1 W
Perth RedStar FC	1-1 D	1-2 L
Sorrento	2-1 W	2-0 W
Fremantle City FC	1-1 D	0-3 L
Bayswater City	2-3 L	4-4 D
Record vs common	2 W 5 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Perth SC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Perth SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	2-2	5	4	D
27/06	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	4-1	3	5	W
20/06	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-1	8	4	D
13/06	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-2	4-2	4	0	W
05/06	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-3	3-3	7	9	D
30/05	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	4-3	8	3	W
22/05	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
16/05	Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	2-1	8	4	W
08/05	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
24/04	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-2	2-3	8	3	L

Western Knights

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	2-0	11	3	W
27/06	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-3	3	5	L
20/06	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	4-4	3	5	D
13/06	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
06/06	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	1-2	6	1	L
30/05	Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	3-4	1	3	L
23/05	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
16/05	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
09/05	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-2	1-3	4	3	L
02/05	Curtin University SC Australia Cup Qualifying	0-0	1-1	15	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Perth SC vs Western Knights?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Perth SC win (55%). Probabilities: Perth SC 55%, draw 21%, Western Knights 24%.

How many goals are expected in Perth SC vs Western Knights?

The model expects 3.7 goals (Perth SC 2.25 · Western Knights 1.44), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Perth SC vs Western Knights?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.