Prediction: Brickfield Rangers vs Bala Town

Team pages: Brickfield Rangers · Bala Town

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.46Total
Brickfield Rangers1.84
Bala Town1.63
1X2
43% 24% 34%
Brickfield Rangers Draw Bala Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Brickfield Rangers 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWLWWWWWLW
Bala Town 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WWLWLWLDLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brickfield Rangers 1600 · Bala Town 1484
Brickfield RangersDrawBala Town
Our model42%24%34%
Market43%23%34%
Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brickfield Rangers (rating 1600 vs 1484).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Brickfield RangersBala Town
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 0.82.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.20.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 6.50.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.53.5 / 0

Standings · Wales Championship North

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brickfield Rangers 121002 271030
2 Newtown 11731 20524
3 Mold Alexandra 11722 281323
4 Porthmadog 12723 181223
5 Bala Town 12624 252320
6 Caersws 11542 241719
7 Bangor 1876 FC 11524 231817
8 Guilsfield 12453 181617
9 Buckley Town 12435 252115
10 CPD Llanuwchllyn 11425 202714
11 Rhyl 11254 202211
12 Holyhead Hotspur 11326 141911
13 Denbigh Town 11317 202310
14 Ruthin Town FC 11236 10219
15 Gresford Ath 10217 6227
16 Penrhyncoch 110110 5341

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBrickfield RangersBala Town
Porthmadog 1-0 W 2-1 W
Mold Alexandra 0-4 L 2-4 L
Rhyl 3-2 W 3-1 W
Denbigh Town 2-0 W 2-5 L
Caersws 2-0 W 3-3 D
Penrhyncoch 2-0 W 1-0 W
Gresford Ath 5-0 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 6 W 0 D 1 L 4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Brickfield Rangers (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brickfield Rangers

WWLWWWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Porthmadog
Wales Championship North
1-0 1-0 –– W
10/10 Mold Alexandra
Wales Championship North
0-1 0-4 –– L
03/10 Rhyl
Wales Championship North
1-1 3-2 –– W
26/09 Denbigh Town
Wales Championship North
1-0 2-0 –– W
12/09 Caersws
Wales Championship North
0-0 2-0 –– W
05/09 Guilsfield
Wales Championship North
1-0 2-0 –– W
31/08 Ruthin Town FC
Wales Championship North
2-0 2-0 –– W
28/08 Bangor 1876 FC
Wales Championship North
0-0 1-2 –– L
22/08 Penrhyncoch
Wales Championship North
1-0 2-0 53 W
16/08 Gresford Ath
Wales Championship North
1-0 5-0 84 W

Bala Town

WWLWLWLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 CPD Llanuwchllyn
Wales Championship North
2-1 3-3 –– D
09/10 Buckley Town
Wales Championship North
0-2 2-3 –– L
03/10 Caersws
Wales Championship North
1-1 3-3 45 D
26/09 Mold Alexandra
Wales Championship North
1-1 2-4 –– L
15/09 Penrhyncoch
Wales Championship North
0-0 1-0 –– W
11/09 Denbigh Town
Wales Championship North
0-1 2-5 32 L
05/09 Porthmadog
Wales Championship North
1-0 2-1 –– W
31/08 Newtown
Wales Championship North
0-0 0-1 –– L
28/08 Rhyl
Wales Championship North
0-0 3-1 –– W
21/08 Gresford Ath
Wales Championship North
1-0 3-0 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brickfield Rangers vs Bala Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brickfield Rangers win (43%). Probabilities: Brickfield Rangers 43%, draw 24%, Bala Town 34%.

How many goals are expected in Brickfield Rangers vs Bala Town?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Brickfield Rangers 1.84 · Bala Town 1.63), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Brickfield Rangers vs Bala Town?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.