Football · Wales Championship North · 31/10, 15:00

Prediction: Caersws vs Bangor 1876 FC

Team pages: Caersws · Bangor 1876 FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.68Total

Caersws1.92

Bangor 1876 FC1.76

1X2

42% 23% 35%

Caersws Draw Bangor 1876 FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Caersws 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLWDDD

Bangor 1876 FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDWLLD

Head-to-head

Caersws 2–1–2 Bangor 1876 FC (5 last)

Bangor 1876 FC1-2Caersws
Caersws2-1Bangor 1876 FC
Caersws0-0Bangor 1876 FC
Bangor 1876 FC2-0Caersws
Caersws2-3Bangor 1876 FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Caersws 1527 · Bangor 1876 FC 1537

	Caersws	Draw	Bangor 1876 FC
Our model	42%	23%	35%
Market	42%	23%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.68 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Caersws	Bangor 1876 FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.5	2.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6	2.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.90

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:04 +22’	2.15	3.90	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Caersws 2–1–2 Bangor 1876 FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/25 Wales Championship North	Bangor 1876 FC	1-2 HT 0-1	Caersws
16/11/24 Wales Cup	Caersws	2-1 HT 0-0	Bangor 1876 FC
26/10/24 Wales Championship North	Caersws	0-0 HT 0-0	Bangor 1876 FC
10/02/24 Wales Championship North	Bangor 1876 FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Caersws
23/09/23 Wales Championship North	Caersws	2-3 HT 2-0	Bangor 1876 FC

Standings · Wales Championship North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	12	10	0	2	27	10	30
2	Newtown	11	7	3	1	20	5	24
3	Mold Alexandra	11	7	2	2	28	13	23
4	Porthmadog	12	7	2	3	18	12	23
5	Bala Town	12	6	2	4	25	23	20
6	Caersws	11	5	4	2	24	17	19
7	Bangor 1876 FC	11	5	2	4	23	18	17
8	Guilsfield	12	4	5	3	18	16	17
9	Buckley Town	12	4	3	5	25	21	15
10	CPD Llanuwchllyn	11	4	2	5	20	27	14
11	Rhyl	11	2	5	4	20	22	11
12	Holyhead Hotspur	11	3	2	6	14	19	11
13	Denbigh Town	11	3	1	7	20	23	10
14	Ruthin Town FC	11	2	3	6	10	21	9
15	Gresford Ath	10	2	1	7	6	22	7
16	Penrhyncoch	11	0	1	10	5	34	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Caersws	Bangor 1876 FC
Holyhead Hotspur	1-1 D	3-2 W
CPD Llanuwchllyn	5-2 W	5-0 W
Brickfield Rangers	0-2 L	2-1 W
Buckley Town	2-0 W	2-6 L
Porthmadog	3-1 W	0-1 L
Rhyl	2-4 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bangor 1876 FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Caersws

WLWWWLWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Guilsfield Wales Championship North	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
10/10	Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
03/10	Bala Town Wales Championship North	1-1	3-3	4	5	D
26/09	CPD Llanuwchllyn Wales Championship North	2-2	5-2	–	–	W
12/09	Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
04/09	Ruthin Town FC Wales Championship North	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
31/08	Buckley Town Wales Championship North	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
28/08	Porthmadog Wales Championship North	1-0	3-1	6	2	W
15/08	Rhyl Wales Championship North	0-2	2-4	–	–	L
08/08	Gresford Ath Wales Championship North	0-0	1-0	8	2	W

Bangor 1876 FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Newtown Wales Championship North	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
03/10	Porthmadog Wales Championship North	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
25/09	Buckley Town Wales Championship North	2-3	2-6	4	4	L
12/09	Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North	4-0	5-1	–	–	W
05/09	Rhyl Wales Championship North	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
31/08	Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
28/08	Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
21/08	Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North	1-2	3-2	5	4	W
15/08	CPD Llanuwchllyn Wales Championship North	3-0	5-0	–	–	W
08/08	Denbigh Town Wales Championship North	0-0	2-1	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Caersws vs Bangor 1876 FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Caersws win (42%). Probabilities: Caersws 42%, draw 23%, Bangor 1876 FC 35%.

How many goals are expected in Caersws vs Bangor 1876 FC?

The model expects 3.68 goals (Caersws 1.92 · Bangor 1876 FC 1.76), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Caersws vs Bangor 1876 FC?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.