Football · Wales Championship North · 31/10, 15:00

Prediction: Gresford Ath vs Ruthin Town FC

Team pages: Gresford Ath · Ruthin Town FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

Gresford Ath1.36

Ruthin Town FC1.27

1X2

39% 26% 35%

Gresford Ath Draw Ruthin Town FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Gresford Ath 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Ruthin Town FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Gresford Ath 2–1–3 Ruthin Town FC (6 last)

Ruthin Town FC2-1Gresford Ath
Gresford Ath2-1Ruthin Town FC
Gresford Ath1-0Ruthin Town FC
Ruthin Town FC4-0Gresford Ath
Gresford Ath1-2Ruthin Town FC
Ruthin Town FC1-1Gresford Ath

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gresford Ath 1424 · Ruthin Town FC 1452

	Gresford Ath	Draw	Ruthin Town FC
Our model	38%	29%	34%
Market	40%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ruthin Town FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gresford Ath	Ruthin Town FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2.2	0.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 1.8	2.2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.3	3.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.70

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:18 +8’	2.25	3.70	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gresford Ath 2–1–3 Ruthin Town FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/03/26 Wales Championship North	Ruthin Town FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Gresford Ath
08/08/25 Wales Championship North	Gresford Ath	2-1 HT 1-0	Ruthin Town FC
01/01/25 Wales Championship North	Gresford Ath	1-0 HT 1-0	Ruthin Town FC
06/09/24 Wales Championship North	Ruthin Town FC	4-0 HT 2-0	Gresford Ath
29/03/24 Wales Championship North	Gresford Ath	1-2 HT 1-2	Ruthin Town FC
11/08/23 Wales Championship North	Ruthin Town FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Gresford Ath

Standings · Wales Championship North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	12	10	0	2	27	10	30
2	Newtown	11	7	3	1	20	5	24
3	Mold Alexandra	11	7	2	2	28	13	23
4	Porthmadog	12	7	2	3	18	12	23
5	Bala Town	12	6	2	4	25	23	20
6	Caersws	11	5	4	2	24	17	19
7	Bangor 1876 FC	11	5	2	4	23	18	17
8	Guilsfield	12	4	5	3	18	16	17
9	Buckley Town	12	4	3	5	25	21	15
10	CPD Llanuwchllyn	11	4	2	5	20	27	14
11	Rhyl	11	2	5	4	20	22	11
12	Holyhead Hotspur	11	3	2	6	14	19	11
13	Denbigh Town	11	3	1	7	20	23	10
14	Ruthin Town FC	11	2	3	6	10	21	9
15	Gresford Ath	10	2	1	7	6	22	7
16	Penrhyncoch	11	0	1	10	5	34	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gresford Ath	Ruthin Town FC
Porthmadog	0-1 L	0-3 L
Penrhyncoch	1-0 W	2-0 W
Rhyl	3-1 W	1-1 D
Guilsfield	1-1 D	2-2 D
Mold Alexandra	1-5 L	0-4 L
Bala Town	0-3 L	1-2 L
Brickfield Rangers	0-5 L	0-2 L
Caersws	0-1 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gresford Ath

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Porthmadog Wales Championship North	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
03/10	Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North	0-0	1-0	1	1	W
26/09	Rhyl Wales Championship North	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	Guilsfield Wales Championship North	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
06/09	Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North	1-5	1-5	–	–	L
31/08	CPD Llanuwchllyn Wales Championship North	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
21/08	Bala Town Wales Championship North	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
16/08	Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North	0-1	0-5	1	4	L
08/08	Caersws Wales Championship North	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
02/08	Newtown Wales Championship North	0-2	0-3	2	4	L

Ruthin Town FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Rhyl Wales Championship North	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
03/10	Buckley Town Wales Championship North	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
25/09	Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
12/09	Porthmadog Wales Championship North	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
04/09	Caersws Wales Championship North	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
31/08	Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
28/08	Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
22/08	Guilsfield Wales Championship North	1-1	2-2	5	6	D
14/08	Denbigh Town Wales Championship North	0-0	2-1	2	5	W
07/08	Bala Town Wales Championship North	0-0	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gresford Ath vs Ruthin Town FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gresford Ath win (39%). Probabilities: Gresford Ath 39%, draw 26%, Ruthin Town FC 35%.

How many goals are expected in Gresford Ath vs Ruthin Town FC?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Gresford Ath 1.36 · Ruthin Town FC 1.27), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Gresford Ath vs Ruthin Town FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.