Football · Wales Championship North · 31/10, 15:00

Prediction: Mold Alexandra vs Rhyl

Team pages: Mold Alexandra · Rhyl

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Mold Alexandra2.21

Rhyl1.37

1X2

56% 22% 22%

Mold Alexandra Draw Rhyl

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Mold Alexandra 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWDWLW

Rhyl 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWDDLLDD

Head-to-head

Mold Alexandra 1–1 Rhyl (2 last)

Mold Alexandra0-1Rhyl
Rhyl0-3Mold Alexandra

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mold Alexandra 1571 · Rhyl 1480

	Mold Alexandra	Draw	Rhyl
Our model	56%	22%	22%
Market	56%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mold Alexandra (rating 1571 vs 1480).
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mold Alexandra	Rhyl
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.1	1.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6	2.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	1.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.10

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.02

Under 3.251.77

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:03 +24’	1.61	4.10	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mold Alexandra 1–0–1 Rhyl

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Wales Championship North	Mold Alexandra	0-1 HT 0-0	Rhyl
10/10/25 Wales Championship North	Rhyl	0-3 HT 0-3	Mold Alexandra

Standings · Wales Championship North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	12	10	0	2	27	10	30
2	Newtown	11	7	3	1	20	5	24
3	Mold Alexandra	11	7	2	2	28	13	23
4	Porthmadog	12	7	2	3	18	12	23
5	Bala Town	12	6	2	4	25	23	20
6	Caersws	11	5	4	2	24	17	19
7	Bangor 1876 FC	11	5	2	4	23	18	17
8	Guilsfield	12	4	5	3	18	16	17
9	Buckley Town	12	4	3	5	25	21	15
10	CPD Llanuwchllyn	11	4	2	5	20	27	14
11	Rhyl	11	2	5	4	20	22	11
12	Holyhead Hotspur	11	3	2	6	14	19	11
13	Denbigh Town	11	3	1	7	20	23	10
14	Ruthin Town FC	11	2	3	6	10	21	9
15	Gresford Ath	10	2	1	7	6	22	7
16	Penrhyncoch	11	0	1	10	5	34	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mold Alexandra	Rhyl
Brickfield Rangers	4-0 W	2-3 L
Newtown	1-2 L	2-2 D
Bala Town	4-2 W	1-3 L
Gresford Ath	5-1 W	1-3 L
Bangor 1876 FC	2-1 W	2-2 D
Ruthin Town FC	4-0 W	1-1 D
Buckley Town	1-0 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Mold Alexandra (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mold Alexandra

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
03/10	Newtown Wales Championship North	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
26/09	Bala Town Wales Championship North	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
12/09	CPD Llanuwchllyn Wales Championship North	1-1	2-2	14	4	D
06/09	Gresford Ath Wales Championship North	5-1	5-1	–	–	W
31/08	Bangor 1876 FC Wales Championship North	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
28/08	Ruthin Town FC Wales Championship North	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
21/08	Buckley Town Wales Championship North	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
15/08	Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
08/08	Guilsfield Wales Championship North	1-0	2-3	6	3	L

Rhyl

LWLWDDLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Newtown Wales Championship North	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
09/10	Ruthin Town FC Wales Championship North	1-1	1-1	0	3	D
03/10	Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
26/09	Gresford Ath Wales Championship North	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	Buckley Town Wales Championship North	2-2	3-3	5	2	D
05/09	Bangor 1876 FC Wales Championship North	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
31/08	Denbigh Town Wales Championship North	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
28/08	Bala Town Wales Championship North	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	Caersws Wales Championship North	2-0	4-2	–	–	W
08/08	Porthmadog Wales Championship North	0-0	0-1	8	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mold Alexandra vs Rhyl?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mold Alexandra win (56%). Probabilities: Mold Alexandra 56%, draw 22%, Rhyl 22%.

How many goals are expected in Mold Alexandra vs Rhyl?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Mold Alexandra 2.21 · Rhyl 1.37), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Mold Alexandra vs Rhyl?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.