Football · Wales Championship North · 28/08, 20:45
Prediction: Buckley Town vs Guilsfield
Team pages: Buckley Town · Guilsfield
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
Buckley Town1.37
Guilsfield1.77
1X2
Buckley Town
Draw
Guilsfield
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Buckley Town
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Guilsfield
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Buckley Town
1–1–4
Guilsfield
(6 last)
- Guilsfield1-0Buckley Town
- Buckley Town1-2Guilsfield
- Guilsfield1-0Buckley Town
- Buckley Town1-1Guilsfield
- Buckley Town0-1Guilsfield
- Guilsfield0-1Buckley Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Buckley Town 1397 · Guilsfield 1526
| Buckley Town | Draw | Guilsfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 25% | 46% |
| Market | 30% | 23% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guilsfield (rating 1397 vs 1526).
- H2H favours Guilsfield: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Buckley Town | Guilsfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.7 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 2.3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Buckley Town 1–1–4 Guilsfield
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Wales Championship North | Guilsfield | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Buckley Town |
| 22/08/25 Wales Championship North | Buckley Town | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Guilsfield |
| 22/03/25 Wales Championship North | Guilsfield | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Buckley Town |
| 04/01/25 Wales Championship North | Buckley Town | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Guilsfield |
| 16/04/24 Wales Championship North | Buckley Town | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Guilsfield |
| 11/08/23 Wales Championship North | Guilsfield | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Buckley Town |
Standings · Wales Championship North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | Porthmadog | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Bangor 1876 FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Bala Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Newtown | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Mold Alexandra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Guilsfield | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Rhyl | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Ruthin Town FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 10 | Caersws | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 | Denbigh Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| 12 | Holyhead Hotspur | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | CPD Llanuwchllyn | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 3 |
| 14 | Buckley Town | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 15 | Penrhyncoch | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 | Gresford Ath | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Buckley Town | Guilsfield |
|---|---|---|
| Mold Alexandra | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Caersws | 2-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Ruthin Town FC | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Newtown | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Guilsfield (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Buckley Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Porthmadog Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | CPD Llanuwchllyn Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Denbigh Town Wales Championship North |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North |
1-4 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/04 | Caersws Wales Championship North |
2-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/04 | Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North |
0-4 | 0-6 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 27/03 | Ruthin Town FC Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/03 | Newtown Wales Championship North |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/03 | Denbigh Town Wales Championship North |
1-2 | 1-4 | 11 | 7 | L |
Guilsfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Ruthin Town FC Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 15/08 | Newtown Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Rhyl Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Gresford Ath Wales Championship North |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 11/04 | Caersws Wales Championship North |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Llandudno Wales Championship North |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Rhyl Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Airbus UK Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 24/03 | Flint Mountain FC Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Buckley Town vs Guilsfield?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Guilsfield win (47%). Probabilities: Buckley Town 29%, draw 24%, Guilsfield 47%.
How many goals are expected in Buckley Town vs Guilsfield?
The model expects 3.15 goals (Buckley Town 1.37 · Guilsfield 1.77), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Buckley Town vs Guilsfield?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.