Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 02/10, 19:30

Prediction: Oberwart vs SV Horn

Team pages: Oberwart · SV Horn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

Oberwart1.97

SV Horn1.25

1X2

54% 23% 23%

Oberwart Draw SV Horn

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Oberwart 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWLLWW

SV Horn 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDDWLLWL

Head-to-head

Oberwart 2–2 SV Horn (4 last)

SV Horn1-0Oberwart
Oberwart3-1SV Horn
Oberwart1-0SV Horn
SV Horn8-1Oberwart

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oberwart 1559 · SV Horn 1510

	Oberwart	Draw	SV Horn
Our model	53%	24%	23%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oberwart (rating 1559 vs 1510).
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Oberwart	SV Horn
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.4	1.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.7	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.00

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:08 +2’	1.67	4.00	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Oberwart 2–0–2 SV Horn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Horn	1-0 HT 0-0	Oberwart
15/08/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	3-1 HT 1-0	SV Horn
11/03/16 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	1-0 HT 1-0	SV Horn
14/08/15 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Horn	8-1 HT 5-1	Oberwart

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	9	7	0	2	25	9	21
2	Wiener Sportclub	9	6	1	2	21	7	19
3	Oberwart	9	6	0	3	18	12	18
4	FCM Traiskirchen	9	5	2	2	23	19	17
5	SC Wiener Viktoria	9	5	1	3	15	9	16
6	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	9	4	3	2	15	16	15
7	Parndorf	9	4	2	3	15	13	14
8	SR Fach-Donaufeld	9	4	2	3	11	10	14
9	SV Horn	9	3	2	4	13	12	11
10	SV Leobendorf	9	3	2	4	10	13	11
11	Kremser SC	9	3	2	4	13	12	11
12	SV Donau	9	2	4	3	15	18	10
13	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	9	3	1	5	11	13	10
14	Favoritner AC	9	3	0	6	6	12	9
15	SV Gloggnitz	9	2	2	5	11	19	8
16	SV Wienerberg	9	0	0	9	6	34	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Oberwart	SV Horn
FC Marchfeld Donauauen	1-0 W	1-3 L
Parndorf	3-1 W	0-1 L
Kremser SC	1-3 L	1-0 W
SV Donau	0-2 L	1-1 D
SV Leobendorf	1-0 W	0-0 D
SV Wienerberg	5-2 W	3-0 W
SR Fach-Donaufeld	4-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Oberwart (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oberwart

WWLWWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
18/09	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-1	3	4	W
11/09	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-3	1-3	4	5	L
04/09	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
29/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	9	6	W
21/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	5-2	4	4	W
14/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	4-1	3	4	W
07/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-2	12	5	L
01/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-1	11	6	W
05/06	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	5-2	7	2	W

SV Horn

WLWDDWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	3-4	7	4	L
19/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
11/09	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-3	3	3	L
01/09	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
28/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
21/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	2	8	D
14/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
07/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
31/07	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
05/06	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	5-1	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oberwart vs SV Horn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oberwart win (54%). Probabilities: Oberwart 54%, draw 23%, SV Horn 23%.

How many goals are expected in Oberwart vs SV Horn?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Oberwart 1.97 · SV Horn 1.25), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Oberwart vs SV Horn?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.