Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: SV Donau vs USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth

Team pages: SV Donau · USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

SV Donau1.86

USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth1.42

1X2

47% 24% 29%

SV Donau Draw USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Donau 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLLDDWWDLD

USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWLDDWW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Donau 1493 · USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1525

	SV Donau	Draw	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
Our model	47%	25%	29%
Market	47%	24%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Donau	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.8	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.9	1.2 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.2	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.80

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 10:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 1.90▼	Bet365 1.90
X	3.70 → 3.80▲	Bet365 3.80
2	2.50 → 3.10▲	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:48 +3’	2.25	3.70	2.50
05:17 +40’	2.10▼	3.75▲	2.70▲
10:40 +7’	1.90▼	3.80▲	3.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:12 +1’	1.69	3.78	3.69
04:35 +37’	1.87▲	3.74▼	3.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	11	8	1	2	30	10	25
2	Oberwart	11	7	1	3	22	14	22
3	Wiener Sportclub	11	6	2	3	25	12	20
4	FCM Traiskirchen	11	5	3	3	24	21	18
5	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	10	5	3	2	17	17	18
6	Kremser SC	11	5	2	4	18	15	17
7	SC Wiener Viktoria	11	5	2	4	15	10	17
8	SR Fach-Donaufeld	10	5	2	3	13	10	17
9	Parndorf	11	4	3	4	16	15	15
10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	11	4	1	6	12	17	13
11	SV Horn	10	3	2	5	14	15	11
12	SV Donau	10	2	5	3	15	18	11
13	SV Leobendorf	10	3	2	5	11	15	11
14	SV Gloggnitz	10	3	2	5	12	19	11
15	Favoritner AC	10	3	1	6	7	13	10
16	SV Wienerberg	10	0	0	10	6	36	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Donau	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
SC Wiener Viktoria	0-0 D	1-5 L
Wiener Sportclub	2-3 L	2-1 W
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	2-2 D	0-2 L
Favoritner AC	4-0 W	1-0 W
Oberwart	2-0 W	2-1 W
FCM Traiskirchen	1-1 D	3-3 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SV Donau (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Donau

DLLDDWWDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
26/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-3	6	4	L
18/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-2	4	10	D
11/09	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	4-0	2	2	W
04/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
28/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
21/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	5	8	D
15/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	1-4	3	6	L
07/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	1-6	2	4	L
31/07	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	2	5	D

USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth

DWWLWLDDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
26/09	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	3-1	5	1	W
20/09	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	2-2	3	3	D
12/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
05/09	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-5	3	3	L
28/08	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-2	2	7	L
14/08	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
07/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-1	1	5	W
31/07	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-3	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Donau vs USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Donau win (47%). Probabilities: SV Donau 47%, draw 24%, USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 29%.

How many goals are expected in SV Donau vs USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth?

The model expects 3.28 goals (SV Donau 1.86 · USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1.42), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Donau vs USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.