Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 10/10, 17:00

Prediction: SV Horn vs Favoritner AC

Team pages: SV Horn · Favoritner AC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

SV Horn1.62

Favoritner AC0.96

1X2

53% 24% 23%

SV Horn Draw Favoritner AC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Horn 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDDWLLWLL

Favoritner AC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWLLLD

Head-to-head

SV Horn 1–1 Favoritner AC (2 last)

SV Horn1-2Favoritner AC
Favoritner AC0-1SV Horn

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Horn 1469 · Favoritner AC 1471

	SV Horn	Draw	Favoritner AC
Our model	52%	27%	21%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Horn	Favoritner AC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	0.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.6	2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X4.10

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.80▲	Bet365 1.80
X	4.10 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90
2	3.75 → 3.30▼	Pinn 3.49 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
06:37 +11’	1.65	4.10	3.75
10:50 +5’	1.80▲	3.90▼	3.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:13 +36’	1.88	3.54	3.20
07:31 +24’	1.83▼	3.54	3.35▲
08:41 +42’	1.79▼	3.54	3.49▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Horn 1–0–1 Favoritner AC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Horn	1-2 HT 0-1	Favoritner AC
26/09/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	0-1 HT 0-0	SV Horn

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	11	8	1	2	30	10	25
2	Oberwart	11	7	1	3	22	14	22
3	Wiener Sportclub	11	6	2	3	25	12	20
4	FCM Traiskirchen	11	5	3	3	24	21	18
5	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	10	5	3	2	17	17	18
6	Kremser SC	11	5	2	4	18	15	17
7	SC Wiener Viktoria	11	5	2	4	15	10	17
8	SR Fach-Donaufeld	10	5	2	3	13	10	17
9	Parndorf	11	4	3	4	16	15	15
10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	11	4	1	6	12	17	13
11	SV Horn	10	3	2	5	14	15	11
12	SV Donau	10	2	5	3	15	18	11
13	SV Leobendorf	10	3	2	5	11	15	11
14	SV Gloggnitz	10	3	2	5	12	19	11
15	Favoritner AC	10	3	1	6	7	13	10
16	SV Wienerberg	10	0	0	10	6	36	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Horn	Favoritner AC
FC Marchfeld Donauauen	1-3 L	1-1 D
Parndorf	0-1 L	0-1 L
Kremser SC	1-0 W	0-3 L
SV Donau	1-1 D	0-4 L
SV Leobendorf	0-0 D	3-0 W
SV Wienerberg	3-0 W	2-0 W
SR Fach-Donaufeld	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: SV Horn (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Horn

LWDDWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-3	2	2	L
25/09	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	3-4	7	4	L
19/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
11/09	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-3	3	3	L
01/09	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
28/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
21/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	2	8	D
14/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
07/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
31/07	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-2	5	5	L

Favoritner AC

LWLLWWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
25/09	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
18/09	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-3	7	5	L
11/09	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-4	9	2	L
04/09	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
29/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
21/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
14/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
07/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
31/07	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	0	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Horn vs Favoritner AC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Horn win (53%). Probabilities: SV Horn 53%, draw 24%, Favoritner AC 23%.

How many goals are expected in SV Horn vs Favoritner AC?

The model expects 2.58 goals (SV Horn 1.62 · Favoritner AC 0.96), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Horn vs Favoritner AC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.