Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 09/10, 19:30

Prediction: FCM Traiskirchen vs Oberwart

Team pages: FCM Traiskirchen · Oberwart

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4Total

FCM Traiskirchen2

Oberwart2

1X2

39% 22% 39%

FCM Traiskirchen Draw Oberwart

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

FCM Traiskirchen 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWDWLWWL

Oberwart 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLLWWW

Head-to-head

FCM Traiskirchen 3–3 Oberwart (6 last)

Oberwart3-0FCM Traiskirchen
FCM Traiskirchen4-1Oberwart
FCM Traiskirchen1-2Oberwart
Oberwart1-0FCM Traiskirchen
Oberwart2-5FCM Traiskirchen
FCM Traiskirchen3-1Oberwart

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FCM Traiskirchen 1508 · Oberwart 1565

	FCM Traiskirchen	Draw	Oberwart
Our model	39%	22%	39%
Market	39%	22%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 4 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oberwart (rating 1508 vs 1565).
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FCM Traiskirchen	Oberwart
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 2	2.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.5	2.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.5	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.30

X4.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
16:20 +9’	2.30	4.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FCM Traiskirchen 3–0–3 Oberwart

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	3-0 HT 2-0	FCM Traiskirchen
07/11/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FCM Traiskirchen	4-1 HT 2-1	Oberwart
30/05/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FCM Traiskirchen	1-2 HT 0-2	Oberwart
01/11/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	1-0 HT 1-0	FCM Traiskirchen
03/05/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	2-5 HT 1-2	FCM Traiskirchen
06/10/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FCM Traiskirchen	3-1 HT 3-0	Oberwart

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	10	7	1	2	26	10	22
2	Oberwart	10	7	0	3	21	13	21
3	Wiener Sportclub	10	6	1	3	24	11	19
4	FCM Traiskirchen	10	5	2	3	23	20	17
5	SC Wiener Viktoria	9	5	1	3	15	9	16
6	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	9	4	3	2	15	16	15
7	Parndorf	9	4	2	3	15	13	14
8	Kremser SC	10	4	2	4	17	15	14
9	SR Fach-Donaufeld	9	4	2	3	11	10	14
10	SV Horn	10	3	2	5	14	15	11
11	SV Leobendorf	9	3	2	4	10	13	11
12	SV Gloggnitz	10	3	2	5	12	19	11
13	SV Donau	9	2	4	3	15	18	10
14	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	9	3	1	5	11	13	10
15	Favoritner AC	10	3	1	6	7	13	10
16	SV Wienerberg	9	0	0	9	6	34	0

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FCM Traiskirchen	Oberwart
SV Horn	4-3 W	3-1 W
Kremser SC	2-0 W	1-3 L
FC Marchfeld Donauauen	1-3 L	1-0 W
Parndorf	3-1 W	3-1 W
SV Donau	1-1 D	0-2 L
SV Leobendorf	5-4 W	1-0 W
SV Wienerberg	4-3 W	5-2 W
SR Fach-Donaufeld	0-1 L	4-1 W
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	3-3 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Oberwart (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FCM Traiskirchen

DLWWDWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
25/09	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	4-3	1	4	W
22/09	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	4	8	W
18/09	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
11/09	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	3-1	3	6	W
28/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
21/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-2	5-4	3	10	W
15/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-2	4-3	13	2	W
07/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	4	9	L
31/07	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-3	15	4	D

Oberwart

WLWWWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-1	10	2	W
25/09	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
18/09	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-1	3	4	W
11/09	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-3	1-3	4	5	L
04/09	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
29/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	9	6	W
21/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	5-2	4	4	W
14/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	4-1	3	4	W
07/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-2	12	5	L
01/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-1	11	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FCM Traiskirchen vs Oberwart?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FCM Traiskirchen win (39%). Probabilities: FCM Traiskirchen 39%, draw 22%, Oberwart 39%.

How many goals are expected in FCM Traiskirchen vs Oberwart?

The model expects 4 goals (FCM Traiskirchen 2 · Oberwart 2), with a 57% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FCM Traiskirchen vs Oberwart?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.