Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 09/10, 19:30

Prediction: Kremser SC vs SC Wiener Viktoria

Team pages: Kremser SC · SC Wiener Viktoria

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Kremser SC1.68

SC Wiener Viktoria1.11

1X2

51% 25% 25%

Kremser SC Draw SC Wiener Viktoria

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Kremser SC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLDLLWWLWW

SC Wiener Viktoria 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWLDWWWWD

Head-to-head

Kremser SC 3–3 SC Wiener Viktoria (6 last)

Kremser SC1-0SC Wiener Viktoria
SC Wiener Viktoria2-1Kremser SC
SC Wiener Viktoria1-0Kremser SC
Kremser SC2-1SC Wiener Viktoria
Kremser SC0-3SC Wiener Viktoria
SC Wiener Viktoria0-2Kremser SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kremser SC 1508 · SC Wiener Viktoria 1525

	Kremser SC	Draw	SC Wiener Viktoria
Our model	50%	26%	24%
Market	51%	23%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kremser SC	SC Wiener Viktoria
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.2	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.4	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.90

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:24 +5’	1.75	3.90	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kremser SC 3–0–3 SC Wiener Viktoria

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Kremser SC	1-0 HT 0-0	SC Wiener Viktoria
27/09/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SC Wiener Viktoria	2-1 HT 0-1	Kremser SC
31/05/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SC Wiener Viktoria	1-0 HT 1-0	Kremser SC
01/11/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Kremser SC	2-1 HT 0-0	SC Wiener Viktoria
20/05/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Kremser SC	0-3 HT 0-1	SC Wiener Viktoria
21/10/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SC Wiener Viktoria	0-2 HT 0-1	Kremser SC

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	10	7	1	2	26	10	22
2	Oberwart	10	7	0	3	21	13	21
3	Wiener Sportclub	10	6	1	3	24	11	19
4	FCM Traiskirchen	10	5	2	3	23	20	17
5	SC Wiener Viktoria	9	5	1	3	15	9	16
6	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	9	4	3	2	15	16	15
7	Parndorf	9	4	2	3	15	13	14
8	Kremser SC	10	4	2	4	17	15	14
9	SR Fach-Donaufeld	9	4	2	3	11	10	14
10	SV Horn	10	3	2	5	14	15	11
11	SV Leobendorf	9	3	2	4	10	13	11
12	SV Gloggnitz	10	3	2	5	12	19	11
13	SV Donau	9	2	4	3	15	18	10
14	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	9	3	1	5	11	13	10
15	Favoritner AC	10	3	1	6	7	13	10
16	SV Wienerberg	9	0	0	9	6	34	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kremser SC	SC Wiener Viktoria
Wiener Sportclub	4-3 W	0-3 L
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	3-0 W	3-1 W
Favoritner AC	3-0 W	0-1 L
Oberwart	3-1 W	1-2 L
SV Gloggnitz	1-3 L	1-1 D
SV Donau	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kremser SC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kremser SC

DLDLLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-2	4-3	2	6	W
25/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	3-0	2	5	W
22/09	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	6	8	L
18/09	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	1	5	W
11/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	3-1	6	5	W
28/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
21/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-3	0	8	L
14/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	3	9	D
07/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
31/07	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	5	5	D

SC Wiener Viktoria

LLWLDWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	11	1	D
26/09	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	0	5	W
19/09	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-0	10	1	W
12/09	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
05/09	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	5-1	8	3	W
29/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
21/08	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-3	0-3	1	3	L
15/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-1	1	5	W
07/08	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
01/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-2	6	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kremser SC vs SC Wiener Viktoria?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kremser SC win (51%). Probabilities: Kremser SC 51%, draw 25%, SC Wiener Viktoria 25%.

How many goals are expected in Kremser SC vs SC Wiener Viktoria?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Kremser SC 1.68 · SC Wiener Viktoria 1.11), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kremser SC vs SC Wiener Viktoria?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.