Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 11/10, 15:00

Prediction: SV Leobendorf vs SR Fach-Donaufeld

Team pages: SV Leobendorf · SR Fach-Donaufeld

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

SV Leobendorf1.18

SR Fach-Donaufeld1.32

1X2

33% 27% 40%

SV Leobendorf Draw SR Fach-Donaufeld

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Leobendorf 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWDLLLWWLL

SR Fach-Donaufeld 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLDLDWW

Head-to-head

SV Leobendorf 2–1–3 SR Fach-Donaufeld (6 last)

SV Leobendorf0-1SR Fach-Donaufeld
SR Fach-Donaufeld0-1SV Leobendorf
SR Fach-Donaufeld3-1SV Leobendorf
SV Leobendorf0-1SR Fach-Donaufeld
SV Leobendorf0-0SR Fach-Donaufeld
SR Fach-Donaufeld1-4SV Leobendorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Leobendorf 1451 · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1506

	SV Leobendorf	Draw	SR Fach-Donaufeld
Our model	32%	30%	39%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SR Fach-Donaufeld (rating 1451 vs 1506).
H2H favours SR Fach-Donaufeld: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Leobendorf	SR Fach-Donaufeld
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6.1	3.9 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.1	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.60

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.63
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.31 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
03:18 +8’	2.63	3.60	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:13 +53’	2.60	3.33	2.28
13:38 +45’	2.63▲	3.35▲	2.31▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Leobendorf 2–1–3 SR Fach-Donaufeld

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	0-1 HT 0-1	SR Fach-Donaufeld
23/08/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	0-1 HT 0-1	SV Leobendorf
21/04/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	3-1 HT 1-0	SV Leobendorf
31/08/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	0-1 HT 0-1	SR Fach-Donaufeld
11/11/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	0-0 HT 0-0	SR Fach-Donaufeld
28/07/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	1-4 HT 0-3	SV Leobendorf

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	11	8	1	2	30	10	25
2	Oberwart	11	7	1	3	22	14	22
3	Wiener Sportclub	11	6	2	3	25	12	20
4	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	11	5	4	2	19	19	19
5	FCM Traiskirchen	11	5	3	3	24	21	18
6	Kremser SC	11	5	2	4	18	15	17
7	SC Wiener Viktoria	11	5	2	4	15	10	17
8	SR Fach-Donaufeld	10	5	2	3	13	10	17
9	Parndorf	11	4	3	4	16	15	15
10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	11	4	1	6	12	17	13
11	Favoritner AC	11	4	1	6	8	13	13
12	SV Donau	11	2	6	3	17	20	12
13	SV Gloggnitz	11	3	3	5	12	19	12
14	SV Horn	11	3	2	6	14	16	11
15	SV Leobendorf	10	3	2	5	11	15	11
16	SV Wienerberg	11	0	1	10	6	36	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Leobendorf	SR Fach-Donaufeld
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	1-2 L	2-2 D
SC Wiener Viktoria	0-1 L	0-1 L
Wiener Sportclub	2-1 W	0-0 D
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	2-1 W	0-2 L
Favoritner AC	0-3 L	1-0 W
Oberwart	0-1 L	1-4 L
FCM Traiskirchen	4-5 L	1-0 W
SV Horn	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SR Fach-Donaufeld (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Leobendorf

DWDLLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-2	8	3	L
26/09	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	9	5	L
18/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
12/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	8	9	W
04/09	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-3	6	4	L
29/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
21/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-3	4-5	1	10	L
14/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
07/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
31/07	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	3	7	D

SR Fach-Donaufeld

WWLWLDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	7	6	W
26/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	4-0	6	0	W
20/09	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	2-2	5	3	D
12/09	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	10	5	L
04/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
29/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
21/08	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
14/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
07/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	10	9	W
31/07	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Leobendorf vs SR Fach-Donaufeld?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SR Fach-Donaufeld win (40%). Probabilities: SV Leobendorf 33%, draw 27%, SR Fach-Donaufeld 40%.

How many goals are expected in SV Leobendorf vs SR Fach-Donaufeld?

The model expects 2.49 goals (SV Leobendorf 1.18 · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1.32), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Leobendorf vs SR Fach-Donaufeld?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.