Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 02/10, 19:10

Prediction: Favoritner AC vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Team pages: Favoritner AC · FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Favoritner AC0.95

FC Marchfeld Donauauen2.02

1X2

17% 22% 62%

Favoritner AC Draw FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Favoritner AC 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWWLLL

FC Marchfeld Donauauen 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Favoritner AC 1–1–4 FC Marchfeld Donauauen (6 last)

FC Marchfeld Donauauen4-0Favoritner AC
Favoritner AC2-0FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Favoritner AC0-2FC Marchfeld Donauauen
FC Marchfeld Donauauen1-0Favoritner AC
FC Marchfeld Donauauen3-1Favoritner AC
Favoritner AC2-2FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Favoritner AC 1448 · FC Marchfeld Donauauen 1575

	Favoritner AC	Draw	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Our model	16%	23%	61%
Market	17%	21%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Marchfeld Donauauen (rating 1448 vs 1575).
H2H favours FC Marchfeld Donauauen: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Favoritner AC	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.4	2.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	1.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.7	2.7 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

15.25

X4.33

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.85

2 (-1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:50 +20’	5.25	4.33	1.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Favoritner AC 1–1–4 FC Marchfeld Donauauen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	4-0 HT 4-0	Favoritner AC
10/10/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
14/03/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
16/08/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	1-0 HT 0-0	Favoritner AC
10/05/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	3-1 HT 2-1	Favoritner AC
13/10/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	2-2 HT 2-0	FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	9	7	0	2	25	9	21
2	Wiener Sportclub	9	6	1	2	21	7	19
3	Oberwart	9	6	0	3	18	12	18
4	FCM Traiskirchen	9	5	2	2	23	19	17
5	SC Wiener Viktoria	9	5	1	3	15	9	16
6	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	9	4	3	2	15	16	15
7	Parndorf	9	4	2	3	15	13	14
8	SR Fach-Donaufeld	9	4	2	3	11	10	14
9	SV Horn	9	3	2	4	13	12	11
10	SV Leobendorf	9	3	2	4	10	13	11
11	Kremser SC	9	3	2	4	13	12	11
12	SV Donau	9	2	4	3	15	18	10
13	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	9	3	1	5	11	13	10
14	Favoritner AC	9	3	0	6	6	12	9
15	SV Gloggnitz	9	2	2	5	11	19	8
16	SV Wienerberg	9	0	0	9	6	34	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Favoritner AC	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Parndorf	0-1 L	4-1 W
Kremser SC	0-3 L	3-1 W
SV Donau	0-4 L	4-1 W
SV Leobendorf	3-0 W	0-1 L
SV Wienerberg	2-0 W	5-0 W
SR Fach-Donaufeld	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Marchfeld Donauauen (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Favoritner AC

LLWLLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
18/09	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-3	7	5	L
11/09	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-4	9	2	L
04/09	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
29/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
21/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
14/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
07/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
31/07	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	0	4	L
06/06	SC Retz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-2	2	4	L

FC Marchfeld Donauauen

WWLWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
18/09	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/09	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-1	5	3	W
04/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-2	7	3	W
28/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	4-1	4	2	W
21/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-1	4	8	W
15/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	4-1	7	6	W
07/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
01/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	4-0	5-0	2	3	W
03/06	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Favoritner AC vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Marchfeld Donauauen win (62%). Probabilities: Favoritner AC 17%, draw 22%, FC Marchfeld Donauauen 62%.

How many goals are expected in Favoritner AC vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Favoritner AC 0.95 · FC Marchfeld Donauauen 2.02), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Favoritner AC vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.