Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 03/10, 17:00

Prediction: SC Wiener Viktoria vs SV Donau

Team pages: SC Wiener Viktoria · SV Donau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

SC Wiener Viktoria2.09

SV Donau1.34

1X2

54% 23% 24%

SC Wiener Viktoria Draw SV Donau

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SC Wiener Viktoria 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWLDWWWW

SV Donau 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDLLDDWWDL

Head-to-head

SC Wiener Viktoria 3–1–1 SV Donau (5 last)

SV Donau0-2SC Wiener Viktoria
SC Wiener Viktoria1-1SV Donau
SC Wiener Viktoria2-1SV Donau
SC Wiener Viktoria1-2SV Donau
SC Wiener Viktoria3-0SV Donau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Wiener Viktoria 1542 · SV Donau 1464

	SC Wiener Viktoria	Draw	SV Donau
Our model	54%	23%	23%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Wiener Viktoria (rating 1542 vs 1464).
H2H favours SC Wiener Viktoria: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SC Wiener Viktoria	SV Donau
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.1	1.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.8	1.5 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	5.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.00

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:25 +2’	1.67	4.00	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Wiener Viktoria 3–1–1 SV Donau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Donau	0-2 HT 0-0	SC Wiener Viktoria
08/11/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SC Wiener Viktoria	1-1 HT 0-1	SV Donau
19/07/25 Europe Friendlies	SC Wiener Viktoria	2-1 HT 1-0	SV Donau
22/02/25 Europe Friendlies	SC Wiener Viktoria	1-2 HT 1-0	SV Donau
25/05/19 Austria Landesliga	SC Wiener Viktoria	3-0 HT 0-0	SV Donau

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	9	7	0	2	25	9	21
2	Wiener Sportclub	9	6	1	2	21	7	19
3	Oberwart	9	6	0	3	18	12	18
4	FCM Traiskirchen	9	5	2	2	23	19	17
5	SC Wiener Viktoria	9	5	1	3	15	9	16
6	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	9	4	3	2	15	16	15
7	Parndorf	9	4	2	3	15	13	14
8	SR Fach-Donaufeld	9	4	2	3	11	10	14
9	SV Horn	9	3	2	4	13	12	11
10	SV Leobendorf	9	3	2	4	10	13	11
11	Kremser SC	9	3	2	4	13	12	11
12	SV Donau	9	2	4	3	15	18	10
13	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	9	3	1	5	11	13	10
14	Favoritner AC	9	3	0	6	6	12	9
15	SV Gloggnitz	9	2	2	5	11	19	8
16	SV Wienerberg	9	0	0	9	6	34	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SC Wiener Viktoria	SV Donau
Wiener Sportclub	0-3 L	2-3 L
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	3-1 W	2-2 D
Favoritner AC	0-1 L	4-0 W
Oberwart	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SV Donau (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Wiener Viktoria

WLLWLDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	0	5	W
19/09	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-0	10	1	W
12/09	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
05/09	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	5-1	8	3	W
29/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
21/08	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-3	0-3	1	3	L
15/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-1	1	5	W
07/08	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
01/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
03/06	Neusiedl Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	5-2	3	5	W

SV Donau

LDLLDDWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-3	6	4	L
18/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-2	4	10	D
11/09	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	4-0	2	2	W
04/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
28/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
21/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	5	8	D
15/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	1-4	3	6	L
07/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	1-6	2	4	L
31/07	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
03/06	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-2	2-5	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Wiener Viktoria vs SV Donau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Wiener Viktoria win (54%). Probabilities: SC Wiener Viktoria 54%, draw 23%, SV Donau 24%.

How many goals are expected in SC Wiener Viktoria vs SV Donau?

The model expects 3.43 goals (SC Wiener Viktoria 2.09 · SV Donau 1.34), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Wiener Viktoria vs SV Donau?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.