Prediction: HUSA Agadir vs KACM Marrakesh
Expected goals: 1.97 (HUSA Agadir 1.37 · KACM Marrakesh 0.6). The model gives 55% home, 29% draw, 16% away. Under 2 goals (51%) and not both to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Over its last 10 matches, HUSA Agadir sits at 3-4-3 (W-D-L), while KACM Marrakesh arrives on a 4-3-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, HUSA Agadir won 3 and KACM Marrakesh 2, with 1 draw.
| HUSA Agadir | Draw | KACM Marrakesh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 30% | 15% |
| Market | 56% | 28% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KACM Marrakesh (rating 1482 vs 1528).
- H2H favours HUSA Agadir: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HUSA Agadir | KACM Marrakesh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.7 | 1.6 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HUSA Agadir 3–1–2 KACM Marrakesh
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Morocco GNF 1 | KACM Marrakesh | 2-1 HT 1-0 | HUSA Agadir |
| 29/08/25 World Club Friendlies | HUSA Agadir | 0-2 HT 0-2 | KACM Marrakesh |
| 28/03/24 Morocco Cup | KACM Marrakesh | 1-2 HT 0-1 | HUSA Agadir |
| 03/03/21 Morocco Cup | KACM Marrakesh | 0-0 HT 0-0 | HUSA Agadir |
| 27/03/19 Morocco GNF 1 | HUSA Agadir | 5-1 HT 3-0 | KACM Marrakesh |
| 03/11/18 Morocco GNF 1 | KACM Marrakesh | 0-2 HT 0-0 | HUSA Agadir |
Standings · Morocco GNF 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MAS Fes | 29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 56 |
| 2 | RSB Berkane | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 54 |
| 3 | FAR Rabat | 29 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 45 | 22 | 54 |
| 4 | Raja Casablanca | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | WAC Casablanca | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 38 | 31 | 43 |
| 6 | Difaa El Jadida | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 29 | 31 | 40 |
| 7 | FUS Rabat | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 35 | 37 |
| 8 | CODM Meknes | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 31 | 36 |
| 9 | Ittihad Tanger | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 30 | 36 |
| 10 | KACM Marrakesh | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 25 | 35 |
| 11 | Renaissance Zemamra | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 37 | 32 |
| 12 | HUSA Agadir | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 38 | 32 |
| 13 | Olympique Dcheira | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 38 | 30 |
| 14 | Union de Touarga | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 28 |
| 15 | US Yacoub El Mansour | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 44 | 27 |
| 16 | OC Safi | 29 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 24 | 40 | 22 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HUSA Agadir | KACM Marrakesh |
|---|---|---|
| Raja Casablanca | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| CODM Meknes | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Union de Touarga | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| FUS Rabat | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: KACM Marrakesh (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HUSA Agadir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/06 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/06 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/06 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 04/06 | FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Mostakbal El Marsa Morocco Cup |
2-2 | 2-2 | 15 | 2 | D |
KACM Marrakesh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 28/06 | Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 25/06 | FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/06 | Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 12/06 | OC Safi Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/06 | Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 01/06 | Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 22/05 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | JS Soualem Morocco Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HUSA Agadir vs KACM Marrakesh?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HUSA Agadir win (55%). Probabilities: HUSA Agadir 55%, draw 29%, KACM Marrakesh 16%.
How many goals are expected in HUSA Agadir vs KACM Marrakesh?
The model expects 1.97 goals (HUSA Agadir 1.37 · KACM Marrakesh 0.6), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in HUSA Agadir vs KACM Marrakesh?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.