Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 05/07, 19:00

Prediction: Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknes

Expected goals: 2.09 (Ittihad Tanger 1.2 · CODM Meknes 0.89). The model gives 42% home, 32% draw, 26% away. Over 2 goals (50%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Ittihad Tanger sits at 5-2-3 (W-D-L), while CODM Meknes arrives on a 3-3-4 run. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Ittihad Tanger and 2 for CODM Meknes, with 1 draw.

42%1
42% 32% 26%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ittihad Tanger 1516 · CODM Meknes 1502
Ittihad TangerDrawCODM Meknes
Our model42%32%26%
Market43%31%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.09Ittihad Tanger 1.2 · CODM Meknes 0.89
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 50%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours CODM Meknes: 2-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ittihad TangerCODM Meknes
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.81.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.60.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)11/56/33%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 4.42.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.44.8 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ittihad Tanger 112 CODM Meknes

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
06/03/26
Morocco GNF 1
CODM Meknes1-0
HT 0-0
Ittihad Tanger
11/08/25
World Club Friendlies
Ittihad Tanger1-1
HT 0-0
CODM Meknes
08/05/25
Morocco GNF 1
Ittihad Tanger2-0
HT 1-0
CODM Meknes
14/12/24
Morocco GNF 1
CODM Meknes1-0
HT 0-0
Ittihad Tanger

Standings · Morocco GNF 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 MAS Fes 2915113 381756
2 RSB Berkane 291595 412654
3 FAR Rabat 2913151 452254
4 Raja Casablanca 291586 371953
5 WAC Casablanca 2913412 383143
6 Difaa El Jadida 299137 293140
7 FUS Rabat 2991010 313537
8 CODM Meknes 299911 233136
9 Ittihad Tanger 298129 253036
10 KACM Marrakesh 2981110 262535
11 Renaissance Zemamra 298813 283732
12 HUSA Agadir 298813 263832
13 Olympique Dcheira 297913 293830
14 Union de Touarga 2951311 303928
15 US Yacoub El Mansour 296914 334427
16 OC Safi 2931313 244022

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentIttihad TangerCODM Meknes
Union de Touarga 0-1 L 0-2 L
Raja Casablanca 1-1 D 1-2 L
Olympique Dcheira 0-2 L 2-1 W
Renaissance Zemamra 1-0 W 1-2 L
KACM Marrakesh 2-0 W 1-3 L
US Yacoub El Mansour 2-1 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Ittihad Tanger (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ittihad Tanger

DWWLWWWLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 Union de Touarga
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-1 15 L
28/06 Raja Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-1 69 D
25/06 Olympique Dcheira
Morocco GNF 1
0-2 0-2 107 L
21/06 Renaissance Zemamra
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 1-0 44 W
17/06 KACM Marrakesh
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 2-0 58 W
14/06 US Yacoub El Mansour
Morocco GNF 1
1-1 2-1 36 W
08/06 RSB Berkane
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 0-1 63 L
03/06 WAC Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 2-1 25 W
22/05 MAS Fes
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 1-0 36 W
17/05 KAC Kenitra
Morocco Cup
1-1 D

CODM Meknes

WLWDLLLDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 FAR Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
1-1 3-2 36 W
28/06 OC Safi
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 2-2 97 D
25/06 HUSA Agadir
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-0 45 D
21/06 Raja Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-2 57 L
17/06 Union de Touarga
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-2 27 L
12/06 Renaissance Zemamra
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-2 63 L
09/06 US Yacoub El Mansour
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 1-1 14 D
01/06 Olympique Dcheira
Morocco GNF 1
2-0 2-1 54 W
22/05 KACM Marrakesh
Morocco GNF 1
0-2 1-3 44 L
17/05 Chabab Atlas Khénifra
Morocco Cup
1-0 2-0 46 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ittihad Tanger win (42%). Probabilities: Ittihad Tanger 42%, draw 32%, CODM Meknes 26%.

How many goals are expected in Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknes?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Ittihad Tanger 1.2 · CODM Meknes 0.89), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknes?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.