Prediction: WAC Casablanca vs Union de Touarga
Expected goals: 2.51 (WAC Casablanca 1.35 · Union de Touarga 1.16). The model gives 39% home, 30% draw, 30% away. Over 2.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, WAC Casablanca is 3-0-7 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Union de Touarga 5-3-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, WAC Casablanca won 3 and Union de Touarga 0, with 3 draws.
| WAC Casablanca | Draw | Union de Touarga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 29% | 31% |
| Market | 39% | 31% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union de Touarga (rating 1454 vs 1524).
- H2H favours WAC Casablanca: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| WAC Casablanca | Union de Touarga | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 4.6 | 2.2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · WAC Casablanca 3–3–0 Union de Touarga
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Morocco GNF 1 | Union de Touarga | 3-4 HT 2-1 | WAC Casablanca |
| 10/06/25 Morocco Coupe d’Excellence | Union de Touarga | 0-0 | WAC Casablanca |
| 12/01/25 Morocco GNF 1 | WAC Casablanca | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Union de Touarga |
| 20/09/24 Morocco GNF 1 | Union de Touarga | 1-1 HT 1-1 | WAC Casablanca |
| 09/03/24 Morocco GNF 1 | WAC Casablanca | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Union de Touarga |
| 12/12/23 Morocco GNF 1 | Union de Touarga | 0-1 HT 0-0 | WAC Casablanca |
Standings · Morocco GNF 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MAS Fes | 29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 56 |
| 2 | RSB Berkane | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 54 |
| 3 | FAR Rabat | 29 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 45 | 22 | 54 |
| 4 | Raja Casablanca | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | WAC Casablanca | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 38 | 31 | 43 |
| 6 | Difaa El Jadida | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 29 | 31 | 40 |
| 7 | FUS Rabat | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 35 | 37 |
| 8 | CODM Meknes | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 31 | 36 |
| 9 | Ittihad Tanger | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 30 | 36 |
| 10 | KACM Marrakesh | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 25 | 35 |
| 11 | Renaissance Zemamra | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 37 | 32 |
| 12 | HUSA Agadir | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 38 | 32 |
| 13 | Olympique Dcheira | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 38 | 30 |
| 14 | Union de Touarga | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 28 |
| 15 | US Yacoub El Mansour | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 44 | 27 |
| 16 | OC Safi | 29 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 24 | 40 | 22 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | WAC Casablanca | Union de Touarga |
|---|---|---|
| Difaa El Jadida | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| FAR Rabat | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Ittihad Tanger | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| HUSA Agadir | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Union de Touarga (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
WAC Casablanca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 28/06 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/06 | MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 18/06 | FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/06 | OC Safi Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/06 | Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Raja Beni Mellal Morocco Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Union de Touarga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 25/06 | Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/06 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 09/06 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 01/06 | KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Fath Nador Morocco Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in WAC Casablanca vs Union de Touarga?
According to our model, the most likely result is a WAC Casablanca win (39%). Probabilities: WAC Casablanca 39%, draw 30%, Union de Touarga 30%.
How many goals are expected in WAC Casablanca vs Union de Touarga?
The model expects 2.51 goals (WAC Casablanca 1.35 · Union de Touarga 1.16), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in WAC Casablanca vs Union de Touarga?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.