Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 05/07, 19:00

Prediction: Difaa El Jadida vs RSB Berkane

Expected goals: 2.26 (Difaa El Jadida 0.65 · RSB Berkane 1.61). The model gives 14% home, 26% draw, 60% away. Under 2.25 goals (53%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 0-1.

On recent form, Difaa El Jadida is 3-5-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and RSB Berkane 6-2-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Difaa El Jadida won 0 and RSB Berkane 3, with 3 draws.

60%2
14% 26% 60%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Difaa El Jadida 1514 · RSB Berkane 1550
Difaa El JadidaDrawRSB Berkane
Our model14%27%59%
Market14%26%60%
Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.26Difaa El Jadida 0.65 · RSB Berkane 1.61
Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 53%
BTTSNo · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours RSB Berkane: 3-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Difaa El JadidaRSB Berkane
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.11.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.71.8 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.23.8 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Difaa El Jadida 033 RSB Berkane

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/03/26
Morocco GNF 1
RSB Berkane2-1
HT 0-0
Difaa El Jadida
01/05/25
Morocco GNF 1
RSB Berkane1-1
HT 1-0
Difaa El Jadida
01/12/24
Morocco GNF 1
Difaa El Jadida1-1
HT 0-1
RSB Berkane
20/06/23
Morocco GNF 1
Difaa El Jadida0-0
HT 0-0
RSB Berkane
21/01/23
Morocco GNF 1
RSB Berkane1-0
HT 1-0
Difaa El Jadida
16/06/22
Morocco GNF 1
RSB Berkane3-2
HT 1-1
Difaa El Jadida

Standings · Morocco GNF 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 MAS Fes 2915113 381756
2 RSB Berkane 291595 412654
3 FAR Rabat 2913151 452254
4 Raja Casablanca 291586 371953
5 WAC Casablanca 2913412 383143
6 Difaa El Jadida 299137 293140
7 FUS Rabat 2991010 313537
8 CODM Meknes 299911 233136
9 Ittihad Tanger 298129 253036
10 KACM Marrakesh 2981110 262535
11 Renaissance Zemamra 298813 283732
12 HUSA Agadir 298813 263832
13 Olympique Dcheira 297913 293830
14 Union de Touarga 2951311 303928
15 US Yacoub El Mansour 296914 334427
16 OC Safi 2931313 244022

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDifaa El JadidaRSB Berkane
WAC Casablanca 1-0 W 2-0 W
MAS Fes 1-2 L 2-1 W
FUS Rabat 0-0 D 1-2 L
FAR Rabat 1-2 L 2-2 D
OC Safi 1-1 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: RSB Berkane (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Difaa El Jadida

WDLDDLWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 US Yacoub El Mansour
Morocco GNF 1
2-2 2-2 23 D
28/06 KACM Marrakesh
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 1-1 37 D
25/06 Union de Touarga
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 2-1 03 W
21/06 WAC Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 1-0 35 W
17/06 MAS Fes
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 1-2 25 L
12/06 Olympique Dcheira
Morocco GNF 1
0-2 2-2 52 D
08/06 FUS Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-0 55 D
04/06 FAR Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-2 54 L
23/05 OC Safi
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 1-1 63 D
17/05 US Amal Tiznit
Morocco Cup
2-0 3-0 63 W

RSB Berkane

WWWWLDWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 WAC Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 2-0 31 W
28/06 FUS Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-2 46 L
25/06 FAR Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
1-1 2-2 76 D
21/06 MAS Fes
Morocco GNF 1
2-1 2-1 28 W
18/06 OC Safi
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-0 32 D
14/06 HUSA Agadir
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-1 41 L
08/06 Ittihad Tanger
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 1-0 13 W
03/06 Raja Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 1-0 07 W
24/05 Renaissance Zemamra
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 1-0 54 W
16/05 WAF Widad Fes
Morocco Cup
3-0 3-1 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Difaa El Jadida vs RSB Berkane?

According to our model, the most likely result is an RSB Berkane win (60%). Probabilities: Difaa El Jadida 14%, draw 26%, RSB Berkane 60%.

How many goals are expected in Difaa El Jadida vs RSB Berkane?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Difaa El Jadida 0.65 · RSB Berkane 1.61), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Difaa El Jadida vs RSB Berkane?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.