Prediction: OC Safi vs Raja Casablanca
Expected goals: 2.13 (OC Safi 0.78 · Raja Casablanca 1.35). The model gives 20% home, 30% draw, 49% away. Over 2 goals (50%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 0-1.
On recent form, OC Safi is 2-5-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Raja Casablanca 5-2-3 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, OC Safi won 0 and Raja Casablanca 4, with 2 draws.
| OC Safi | Draw | Raja Casablanca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 31% | 49% |
| Market | 21% | 30% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Raja Casablanca (rating 1480 vs 1536).
- H2H favours Raja Casablanca: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| OC Safi | Raja Casablanca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4 | 2.2 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.3 | 6 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · OC Safi 0–2–4 Raja Casablanca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Morocco GNF 1 | Raja Casablanca | 2-0 HT 1-0 | OC Safi |
| 30/01/25 Morocco GNF 1 | Raja Casablanca | 1-1 HT 1-0 | OC Safi |
| 29/09/24 Morocco GNF 1 | OC Safi | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Raja Casablanca |
| 30/03/24 Morocco Cup | Raja Casablanca | 2-0 HT 0-0 | OC Safi |
| 03/03/24 Morocco GNF 1 | Raja Casablanca | 1-0 HT 0-0 | OC Safi |
| 28/10/23 Morocco GNF 1 | OC Safi | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Raja Casablanca |
Standings · Morocco GNF 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MAS Fes | 29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 56 |
| 2 | RSB Berkane | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 54 |
| 3 | FAR Rabat | 29 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 45 | 22 | 54 |
| 4 | Raja Casablanca | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | WAC Casablanca | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 38 | 31 | 43 |
| 6 | Difaa El Jadida | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 29 | 31 | 40 |
| 7 | FUS Rabat | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 35 | 37 |
| 8 | CODM Meknes | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 31 | 36 |
| 9 | Ittihad Tanger | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 30 | 36 |
| 10 | KACM Marrakesh | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 25 | 35 |
| 11 | Renaissance Zemamra | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 37 | 32 |
| 12 | HUSA Agadir | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 38 | 32 |
| 13 | Olympique Dcheira | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 38 | 30 |
| 14 | Union de Touarga | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 28 |
| 15 | US Yacoub El Mansour | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 44 | 27 |
| 16 | OC Safi | 29 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 24 | 40 | 22 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | OC Safi | Raja Casablanca |
|---|---|---|
| Olympique Dcheira | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| CODM Meknes | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Renaissance Zemamra | 1-1 D | 4-3 W |
| US Yacoub El Mansour | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| RSB Berkane | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| KACM Marrakesh | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Raja Casablanca (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
OC Safi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 25/06 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 18/06 | RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 12/06 | KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/06 | MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 23/05 | Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
Raja Casablanca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 25/06 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
2-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 09/06 | KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/06 | RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | JS Massira Morocco Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in OC Safi vs Raja Casablanca?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Raja Casablanca win (49%). Probabilities: OC Safi 20%, draw 30%, Raja Casablanca 49%.
How many goals are expected in OC Safi vs Raja Casablanca?
The model expects 2.13 goals (OC Safi 0.78 · Raja Casablanca 1.35), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in OC Safi vs Raja Casablanca?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.