Prediction: FAR Rabat vs Renaissance Zemamra
Expected goals: 2.45 (FAR Rabat 1.86 · Renaissance Zemamra 0.6). The model gives 67% home, 23% draw, 10% away. Under 2.5 goals (54%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Recent form leaves FAR Rabat with 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; Renaissance Zemamra has piled up 2-4-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 5 wins for FAR Rabat and 0 for Renaissance Zemamra, with 1 draw.
| FAR Rabat | Draw | Renaissance Zemamra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 23% | 10% |
| Market | 67% | 22% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FAR Rabat (rating 1525 vs 1478).
- H2H favours FAR Rabat: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FAR Rabat | Renaissance Zemamra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 11/67/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.3 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FAR Rabat 5–1–0 Renaissance Zemamra
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Morocco GNF 1 | Renaissance Zemamra | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FAR Rabat |
| 21/05/25 Morocco Cup | FAR Rabat | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Renaissance Zemamra |
| 08/03/25 Morocco GNF 1 | Renaissance Zemamra | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FAR Rabat |
| 03/11/24 Morocco GNF 1 | FAR Rabat | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Renaissance Zemamra |
| 08/05/24 Morocco Cup | FAR Rabat | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Renaissance Zemamra |
| 14/02/24 Morocco GNF 1 | Renaissance Zemamra | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FAR Rabat |
Standings · Morocco GNF 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MAS Fes | 29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 56 |
| 2 | RSB Berkane | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 54 |
| 3 | FAR Rabat | 29 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 45 | 22 | 54 |
| 4 | Raja Casablanca | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | WAC Casablanca | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 38 | 31 | 43 |
| 6 | Difaa El Jadida | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 29 | 31 | 40 |
| 7 | FUS Rabat | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 35 | 37 |
| 8 | CODM Meknes | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 31 | 36 |
| 9 | Ittihad Tanger | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 30 | 36 |
| 10 | KACM Marrakesh | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 25 | 35 |
| 11 | Renaissance Zemamra | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 37 | 32 |
| 12 | HUSA Agadir | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 38 | 32 |
| 13 | Olympique Dcheira | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 38 | 30 |
| 14 | Union de Touarga | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 28 |
| 15 | US Yacoub El Mansour | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 44 | 27 |
| 16 | OC Safi | 29 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 24 | 40 | 22 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FAR Rabat | Renaissance Zemamra |
|---|---|---|
| CODM Meknes | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Union de Touarga | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| RSB Berkane | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| FUS Rabat | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FAR Rabat (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FAR Rabat
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/06 | RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 21/06 | KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 18/06 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/06 | MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/06 | Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 24/05 | Mamelodi Sundowns CAF Champions League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
Renaissance Zemamra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/06 | OC Safi Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/06 | Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
2-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/06 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/06 | Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 03/06 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Wydad Serghini Morocco Cup |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FAR Rabat vs Renaissance Zemamra?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FAR Rabat win (67%). Probabilities: FAR Rabat 67%, draw 23%, Renaissance Zemamra 10%.
How many goals are expected in FAR Rabat vs Renaissance Zemamra?
The model expects 2.45 goals (FAR Rabat 1.86 · Renaissance Zemamra 0.6), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FAR Rabat vs Renaissance Zemamra?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.