Football · Wales Premier League · 31/07, 20:45

Prediction: Llandudno vs Flint Town Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Llandudno1.73

Flint Town Utd1.15

1X2

51% 24% 25%

Llandudno Draw Flint Town Utd

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Llandudno 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLWWW

Flint Town Utd 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWWDDLLLDW

Head-to-head

Llandudno 3–1–2 Flint Town Utd (6 last)

Flint Town Utd5-1Llandudno
Llandudno1-5Flint Town Utd
Llandudno1-1Flint Town Utd
Llandudno5-0Flint Town Utd
Flint Town Utd0-1Llandudno
Llandudno2-1Flint Town Utd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Llandudno 1598 · Flint Town Utd 1510

	Llandudno	Draw	Flint Town Utd
Our model	50%	26%	24%
Market	51%	23%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Llandudno (rating 1598 vs 1510).
H2H favours Llandudno: 3-1-2.
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Llandudno	Flint Town Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.9	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.9	3.7 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	2.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.90

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:09 +2’	1.75	3.90	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Llandudno 3–1–2 Flint Town Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/01/24 Wales Championship North	Flint Town Utd	5-1 HT 1-1	Llandudno
26/12/23 Wales Championship North	Llandudno	1-5 HT 0-2	Flint Town Utd
28/09/19 Wales Championship North	Llandudno	1-1	Flint Town Utd
27/12/14 Wales Cymru Alliance	Llandudno	5-0	Flint Town Utd
27/08/14 Wales Cymru Alliance	Flint Town Utd	0-1	Llandudno
02/04/14 Wales Cymru Alliance	Llandudno	2-1	Flint Town Utd

Standings · Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Airbus UK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ammanford AFC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Barry Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Briton Ferry	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Caernarfon Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cambrian United	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cardiff MU	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Colwyn Bay	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Connah's Quay	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Flint Town Utd	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Haverfordwest County	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Holywell Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Llandudno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Penybont	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	T.N.S.	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Trefelin BGC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Llandudno

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/07	Rhyl UK Friendlies	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
04/07	Avro FC Club Friendly List	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
23/06	Buckley Town UK Friendlies	3-0	6-0	4	0	W
18/04	Airbus UK Wales Championship North	0-1	1-3	8	5	L
11/04	Newtown Wales Championship North	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
06/04	Guilsfield Wales Championship North	2-1	4-1	7	3	W
03/04	Ruthin Town FC Wales Championship North	1-1	5-2	14	0	W
28/03	Caersws Wales Championship North	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
14/03	Guilsfield Wales Championship North	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
06/03	Holywell Town Wales Championship North	1-0	2-1	7	1	W

Flint Town Utd

DWWDDLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Rhyl UK Friendlies	2-2	3-2	3	0	W
18/04	Cardiff MU Wales Premier League	1-0	2-2	9	3	D
12/04	Caernarfon Town Wales Cup	0-3	0-3	5	2	L
03/04	Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	8	2	L
28/03	Llanelli Town Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	10	3	L
21/03	Briton Ferry Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
14/03	Bala Town Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
07/03	Bangor 1876 FC Wales Cup	3-0	5-1	4	3	W
01/03	Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League	1-0	3-1	4	5	W
21/02	Cardiff MU Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	8	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Llandudno vs Flint Town Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Llandudno win (51%). Probabilities: Llandudno 51%, draw 24%, Flint Town Utd 25%.

How many goals are expected in Llandudno vs Flint Town Utd?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Llandudno 1.73 · Flint Town Utd 1.15), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Llandudno vs Flint Town Utd?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.