Prediction: Jinju Citizen FC vs Sejong SA
Expected goals: 3.18 (Jinju Citizen FC 2.17 · Sejong SA 1). The model gives 64% home, 21% draw, 16% away. Over 2.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Jinju Citizen FC with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Sejong SA has piled up 4-2-4 in the same span. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Jinju Citizen FC and 0 for Sejong SA, with 1 draw.
| Jinju Citizen FC | Draw | Sejong SA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 21% | 15% |
| Market | 64% | 20% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jinju Citizen FC (rating 1568 vs 1495).
- H2H favours Jinju Citizen FC: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jinju Citizen FC | Sejong SA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/0/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 2.4 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jinju Citizen FC 2–1–0 Sejong SA
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 South Korea K4 League | Jinju Citizen FC | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Sejong SA |
| 15/11/25 South Korea K4 League | Sejong SA | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Jinju Citizen FC |
| 06/07/25 South Korea K4 League | Jinju Citizen FC | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Sejong SA |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jinju Citizen FC | Sejong SA |
|---|---|---|
| Seosan Pioneer | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Pyeongchang United | 4-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Geoje Citizen FC | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Jinju Citizen FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jinju Citizen FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 27/05 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League |
1-3 | 2-6 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 05/05 | Haman South Korea League Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Sejong SA South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Sejong SA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 27/05 | Yeoju South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Gijang United South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 06/05 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jinju Citizen FC vs Sejong SA?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Jinju Citizen FC win (64%). Probabilities: Jinju Citizen FC 64%, draw 21%, Sejong SA 16%.
How many goals are expected in Jinju Citizen FC vs Sejong SA?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Jinju Citizen FC 2.17 · Sejong SA 1), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Jinju Citizen FC vs Sejong SA?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.