Football · South Korea Cup · 05/07, 11:00

Prediction: Namyangju FC vs Seoul Jungnang FC

Expected goals: 2.78 (Namyangju FC 1.52 · Seoul Jungnang FC 1.26). The model gives 42% home, 27% draw, 31% away. Over 2.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Namyangju FC sits at 3-3-4 (W-D-L), while Seoul Jungnang FC arrives on a 2-4-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Namyangju FC won 3 and Seoul Jungnang FC 1, with 2 draws.

42%1
42% 27% 31%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Namyangju FC 1492 · Seoul Jungnang FC 1461
Namyangju FCDrawSeoul Jungnang FC
Our model42%28%30%
Market43%26%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.78Namyangju FC 1.52 · Seoul Jungnang FC 1.26
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 55%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Namyangju FC: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Namyangju FCSeoul Jungnang FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.61.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.70.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 3.82.5 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.22.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Namyangju FC 321 Seoul Jungnang FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
South Korea K4 League
Namyangju FC3-3
HT 3-0
Seoul Jungnang FC
20/09/25
South Korea K4 League
Seoul Jungnang FC1-2
HT 1-1
Namyangju FC
01/06/25
South Korea K4 League
Namyangju FC3-2
HT 2-0
Seoul Jungnang FC
02/03/25
South Korea K4 League
Seoul Jungnang FC0-1
HT 0-0
Namyangju FC
05/10/24
South Korea K4 League
Namyangju FC2-3
HT 1-2
Seoul Jungnang FC
09/06/24
South Korea K4 League
Seoul Jungnang FC2-2
HT 1-1
Namyangju FC

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNamyangju FCSeoul Jungnang FC
Jincheon HR 2-2 D 0-0 D
Geoje Citizen FC 1-0 W 0-1 L
Sejong SA 0-3 L 1-3 L
Geumsan Insam 1-1 D 1-1 D
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 2-1 W 1-1 D
Jinju Citizen FC 0-1 L 1-2 L
Seosan Pioneer 2-0 W 4-2 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 2 L 1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Namyangju FC (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Namyangju FC

WLWDLDLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
0-1 2-2 13 D
20/06 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
2-1 2-3 43 L
07/06 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-0 24 W
30/05 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
0-2 0-3 61 L
16/05 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-1 53 D
09/05 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-2 34 L
06/05 Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korea K3/K4 Championship
3-1 3-3 23 D
03/05 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
1-1 2-1 74 W
25/04 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-1 31 L
19/04 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
2-0 2-0 53 W

Seoul Jungnang FC

DDLLDWLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-1 41 D
21/06 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-2 92 L
06/06 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
0-0 4-2 75 W
23/05 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
1-1 1-2 42 L
16/05 Haman
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-1 53 W
10/05 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-0 64 D
25/04 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-1 72 L
18/04 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-3 83 L
12/04 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
0-3 3-3 74 D
05/04 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-1 55 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Namyangju FC vs Seoul Jungnang FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Namyangju FC win (42%). Probabilities: Namyangju FC 42%, draw 27%, Seoul Jungnang FC 31%.

How many goals are expected in Namyangju FC vs Seoul Jungnang FC?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Namyangju FC 1.52 · Seoul Jungnang FC 1.26), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Namyangju FC vs Seoul Jungnang FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.