Football · South Korea Cup · 04/07, 12:00

Prediction: Haman vs Dangjin Citizen FC

Expected goals: 2.98 (Haman 1 · Dangjin Citizen FC 1.98). The model gives 18% home, 23% draw, 59% away. Over 2.5 goals (54%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Haman is 3-1-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Dangjin Citizen FC 3-2-5 over its own.

59%2
18% 23% 59%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Haman 1468 · Dangjin Citizen FC 1485
HamanDrawDangjin Citizen FC
Our model17%23%59%
Market18%22%60%
Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.98Haman 1 · Dangjin Citizen FC 1.98
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HamanDangjin Citizen FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.71.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 3.12.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.13.2 / 0.2

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Haman

LWLDLWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-3 12 L
20/06 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-3 53 L
06/06 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-0 57 W
31/05 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-2 1-4 37 L
23/05 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-1 50 W
16/05 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-2 23 L
09/05 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-0 44 D
05/05 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea League Cup
1-0 1-2 53 L
26/04 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
1-0 2-0 06 W
18/04 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
0-1 0-2 12 L

Dangjin Citizen FC

WLDLLLWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Gangneung City
South Korea K3 League
3-1 5-2 21 W
20/06 Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korea K3 League
1-1 1-1 65 D
06/06 Changwon City
South Korea K3 League
0-0 1-2 21 L
30/05 Yangpyeong FC
South Korea K3 League
1-1 3-1 66 W
27/05 Siheung City AC
South Korea K3/K4 Championship
0-1 0-1 43 L
23/05 Siheung City AC
South Korea K3 League
1-2 1-2 43 L
16/05 Daejeon Korail
South Korea K3 League
0-1 0-1 93 L
10/05 Gyeongju HNP
South Korea K3 League
1-1 2-2 14 D
02/05 Busan Trans Corp
South Korea K3 League
0-0 1-2 63 L
25/04 Jeonbuk Motors II
South Korea K3 League
1-1 2-1 75 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Haman vs Dangjin Citizen FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dangjin Citizen FC win (59%). Probabilities: Haman 18%, draw 23%, Dangjin Citizen FC 59%.

How many goals are expected in Haman vs Dangjin Citizen FC?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Haman 1 · Dangjin Citizen FC 1.98), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Haman vs Dangjin Citizen FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.