Football · France National · 07/08, 20:45
Prediction: Concarneau vs US Orleans 45
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Concarneau1.45
US Orleans 450.79
1X2
Concarneau
Draw
US Orleans 45
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Concarneau
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
US Orleans 45
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Concarneau
3–2–1
US Orleans 45
(6 last)
- US Orleans 451-1Concarneau
- Concarneau3-0US Orleans 45
- Concarneau1-2US Orleans 45
- US Orleans 452-3Concarneau
- US Orleans 451-2Concarneau
- Concarneau1-1US Orleans 45
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Concarneau (rating 1551 vs 1507).
- H2H favours Concarneau: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Concarneau | US Orleans 45 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.7 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Concarneau 3–2–1 US Orleans 45
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 France National | US Orleans 45 | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Concarneau |
| 07/11/25 France National | Concarneau | 3-0 HT 1-0 | US Orleans 45 |
| 07/02/25 France National | Concarneau | 1-2 HT 0-1 | US Orleans 45 |
| 06/09/24 France National | US Orleans 45 | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Concarneau |
| 26/05/23 France National | US Orleans 45 | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Concarneau |
| 12/08/22 France National | Concarneau | 1-1 HT 1-1 | US Orleans 45 |
Standings · France National
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cannes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Fleury 91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rouen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Versailles 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Villefranche | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bourg-Peronnas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | La Roche VF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Le Puy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Paris 13 Atletico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Quevilly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aubagne Air Bel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SC Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Caen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Thionville FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Concarneau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Orleans 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Valenciennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Concarneau | US Orleans 45 |
|---|---|---|
| Villefranche | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Paris 13 Atletico | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: US Orleans 45 (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Concarneau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Pontivy GSI Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Laval Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/07 | Guingamp Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Brest Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | Lorient Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Villefranche France National |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Caen France National |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/04 | Paris 13 Atletico France National |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Stade Briochin France National |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/04 | Rouen France National |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
US Orleans 45
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Auxerre Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Paris 13 Atletico Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Clermont Foot Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 15/05 | Dijon France National |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Fleury 91 France National |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Versailles 78 France National |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 24/04 | US Quevilly France National |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Aubagne Air Bel France National |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 10/04 | Concarneau France National |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 27/03 | Villefranche France National |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Concarneau vs US Orleans 45?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Concarneau win (52%). Probabilities: Concarneau 52%, draw 29%, US Orleans 45 19%.
How many goals are expected in Concarneau vs US Orleans 45?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Concarneau 1.45 · US Orleans 45 0.79), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Concarneau vs US Orleans 45?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.