Football · France Ligue 3 · 14/08, 19:00
Prediction: Villefranche vs Paris 13 Atletico
Team pages: Villefranche · Paris 13 Atletico
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Villefranche1.31
Paris 13 Atletico1.1
1X2
Villefranche
Draw
Paris 13 Atletico
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Villefranche
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Paris 13 Atletico
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Villefranche
2–2–2
Paris 13 Atletico
(6 last)
- Villefranche3-1Paris 13 Atletico
- Paris 13 Atletico1-0Villefranche
- Paris 13 Atletico1-0Villefranche
- Villefranche1-1Paris 13 Atletico
- Paris 13 Atletico1-1Villefranche
- Villefranche2-0Paris 13 Atletico
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Villefranche 1483 · Paris 13 Atletico 1532
| Villefranche | Draw | Paris 13 Atletico | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | 41% | 29% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paris 13 Atletico (rating 1483 vs 1532).
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Villefranche | Paris 13 Atletico | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.1 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Villefranche 2–2–2 Paris 13 Atletico
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 France Ligue 3 | Villefranche | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Paris 13 Atletico |
| 21/11/25 France Ligue 3 | Paris 13 Atletico | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Villefranche |
| 31/01/25 France Ligue 3 | Paris 13 Atletico | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Villefranche |
| 30/08/24 France Ligue 3 | Villefranche | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Paris 13 Atletico |
| 03/02/23 France Ligue 3 | Paris 13 Atletico | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Villefranche |
| 26/08/22 France Ligue 3 | Villefranche | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Paris 13 Atletico |
Standings · France Ligue 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Thionville FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Le Puy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | US Orleans 45 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Bourg-Peronnas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | La Roche VF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Paris 13 Atletico | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Amiens | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Cannes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | FC Fleury 91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Rouen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Versailles 78 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Villefranche | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | US Quevilly | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | SC Bastia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Concarneau | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Aubagne Air Bel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Valenciennes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Villefranche | Paris 13 Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| Concarneau | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Caen | 0-3 L | 4-3 W |
| US Orleans 45 | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Villefranche
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 24/04 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/04 | Stade Briochin France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/04 | Rouen France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 27/03 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 20/03 | Le Puy France Ligue 3 |
0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/03 | Chateauroux France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
Paris 13 Atletico
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 31/07 | US Lusitanos Saint-Maur Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | Creteil Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | US Orleans 45 Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 15/07 | Caen Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-3 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Amiens Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 15/05 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/04 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/04 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Villefranche vs Paris 13 Atletico?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Villefranche win (40%). Probabilities: Villefranche 40%, draw 29%, Paris 13 Atletico 30%.
How many goals are expected in Villefranche vs Paris 13 Atletico?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Villefranche 1.31 · Paris 13 Atletico 1.1), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Villefranche vs Paris 13 Atletico?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.