Prediction: Thionville FC vs Caen
Team pages: Thionville FC · Caen
| Thionville FC | Draw | Caen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 26% | 20% |
| Market | 55% | 25% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Thionville FC | Caen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 2.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.3 | 2.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0 |
Standings · France Ligue 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Thionville FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Le Puy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | US Orleans 45 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Bourg-Peronnas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | La Roche VF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Paris 13 Atletico | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Amiens | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Cannes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | FC Fleury 91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Rouen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Versailles 78 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Villefranche | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | US Quevilly | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | SC Bastia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Concarneau | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Aubagne Air Bel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Valenciennes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Thionville FC | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| Aubagne Air Bel | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Dieppe | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Thionville FC (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thionville FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 18/07 | Nancy Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Chambly Thelle FC France National 2 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Bastia-Borgo France National 2 |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Bourges 18 France National 2 |
1-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Chantilly France National 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Colmar France National 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Feignies Aulnoye FC France National 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Dieppe France National 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 29/03 | Beauvais France National 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Caen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 31/07 | Saint Malo Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | Dieppe Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Al-Wakrah SC World Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Laval Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/07 | Paris 13 Atletico Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 09/07 | Rennes Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thionville FC vs Caen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Thionville FC win (54%). Probabilities: Thionville FC 54%, draw 26%, Caen 20%.
How many goals are expected in Thionville FC vs Caen?
The model expects 2.62 goals (Thionville FC 1.69 · Caen 0.93), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Thionville FC vs Caen?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.