Prediction: Aubagne Air Bel vs SC Bastia
Team pages: Aubagne Air Bel · SC Bastia
- Aubagne Air Bel1-1SC Bastia
| Aubagne Air Bel | Draw | SC Bastia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 29% | 30% |
| Market | 41% | 28% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Bastia (rating 1433 vs 1505).
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aubagne Air Bel | SC Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.8 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.8 | 3.1 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aubagne Air Bel 0–1–0 SC Bastia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/26 Europe Friendlies | Aubagne Air Bel | 1-1 HT 0-0 | SC Bastia |
Standings · France Ligue 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Thionville FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Le Puy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | US Orleans 45 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Bourg-Peronnas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | La Roche VF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Paris 13 Atletico | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Amiens | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Cannes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | FC Fleury 91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Rouen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Versailles 78 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Villefranche | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | US Quevilly | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | SC Bastia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Concarneau | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Aubagne Air Bel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Valenciennes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aubagne Air Bel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 31/07 | Sporting Club Toulon Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 30/07 | Istres Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/07 | SC Bastia Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | Montpellier Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | Le Puy Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Stade Briochin France Ligue 3 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 8 | L |
| 24/04 | Rouen France Ligue 3 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
SC Bastia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Le Puy France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | Annecy Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 24/07 | Aubagne Air Bel Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | FC Bastia-Borgo Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Rodez Aveyron Europe Friendlies |
1-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Guingamp France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 24/04 | Clermont Foot France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | St Etienne France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2 |
3-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Amiens France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aubagne Air Bel vs SC Bastia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aubagne Air Bel win (41%). Probabilities: Aubagne Air Bel 41%, draw 29%, SC Bastia 30%.
How many goals are expected in Aubagne Air Bel vs SC Bastia?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Aubagne Air Bel 1.38 · SC Bastia 1.15), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Aubagne Air Bel vs SC Bastia?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.