Football · France Ligue 3 · 14/08, 19:00

Prediction: Cannes vs FC Fleury 91

Team pages: Cannes · FC Fleury 91

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Cannes1.69
FC Fleury 911.12
1X2
49% 27% 24%
Cannes Draw FC Fleury 91
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cannes 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWLWWWLWDD
FC Fleury 91 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WWWLLLLLLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cannes 1557 · FC Fleury 91 1451
CannesDrawFC Fleury 91
Our model50%26%24%
Market49%28%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cannes (rating 1557 vs 1451).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CannesFC Fleury 91
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.61.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.10.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.52.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.32.8 / 0.2

Standings · France Ligue 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Caen 1100 403
2 Thionville FC 1100 303
3 Le Puy 1100 203
3 US Orleans 45 1100 203
5 Bourg-Peronnas 1100 323
5 La Roche VF 1100 323
7 Paris 13 Atletico 1100 103
8 Amiens 1010 001
8 Cannes 1010 001
8 FC Fleury 91 1010 001
8 Rouen 1010 001
12 Versailles 78 1001 230
12 Villefranche 1001 230
14 US Quevilly 1001 010
15 SC Bastia 1001 020
15 Concarneau 1001 020
17 Aubagne Air Bel 1001 030
18 Valenciennes 1001 040

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCannesFC Fleury 91
Rouen 0-0 D 1-2 L
Creteil 3-0 W 1-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Cannes (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cannes

WWLWWWLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Rouen
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 23 D
26/07 Roma
Elite Club Friendlies
0-2 3-3 54 D
22/07 Montpellier
Europe Friendlies
2-2 4-3 43 W
17/07 Rodez Aveyron
Club Friendly List
0-2 1-4 L
16/05 US Lusitanos Saint-Maur
France National 2
0-0 2-0 25 W
09/05 Rousset-Ste Victoire
France National 2
1-0 3-1 90 W
01/05 GOAL FC
France National 2
1-1 2-1 43 W
25/04 Nimes
France National 2
0-3 0-3 L
17/04 Creteil
France National 2
1-0 3-0 74 W
11/04 Grasse
France National 2
1-1 3-1 37 W

FC Fleury 91

WWWLLLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Amiens
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 44 D
25/07 Versailles 78
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-2 12 L
17/07 Creteil
Club Friendly List
1-2 1-3 L
15/07 Boulogne
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-2 20 L
11/07 Nantes
Europe Friendlies
0-3 0-5 51 L
15/05 Rouen
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-2 45 L
09/05 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
0-2 0-2 94 L
01/05 Le Puy
France Ligue 3
3-0 4-0 52 W
24/04 Chateauroux
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-0 76 W
17/04 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-0 23 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cannes vs FC Fleury 91?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cannes win (49%). Probabilities: Cannes 49%, draw 27%, FC Fleury 91 24%.

How many goals are expected in Cannes vs FC Fleury 91?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Cannes 1.69 · FC Fleury 91 1.12), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cannes vs FC Fleury 91?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.