Football · France Ligue 3 · 14/08, 19:00

Prediction: US Orleans 45 vs Rouen

Team pages: US Orleans 45 · Rouen

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2Total
US Orleans 450.99
Rouen1.01
1X2
34% 31% 35%
US Orleans 45 Draw Rouen
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
US Orleans 45 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWLDWLLWWW
Rouen 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WDLWDLWWWD
Head-to-head
US Orleans 45 1–2–3 Rouen (6 last)
  • US Orleans 451-1Rouen
  • Rouen1-0US Orleans 45
  • US Orleans 451-3Rouen
  • Rouen0-2US Orleans 45
  • US Orleans 450-0Rouen
  • Rouen2-1US Orleans 45
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · US Orleans 45 1527 · Rouen 1539
US Orleans 45DrawRouen
Our model33%34%34%
Market35%28%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Rouen: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

US Orleans 45Rouen
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.91.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.30.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.94.2 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.33.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · US Orleans 45 123 Rouen

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/02/26
France Ligue 3
US Orleans 451-1
HT 1-1
Rouen
19/09/25
France Ligue 3
Rouen1-0
HT 0-0
US Orleans 45
31/01/25
France Ligue 3
US Orleans 451-3
HT 0-1
Rouen
30/08/24
France Ligue 3
Rouen0-2
HT 0-0
US Orleans 45
12/02/24
France Ligue 3
US Orleans 450-0
HT 0-0
Rouen
01/09/23
France Ligue 3
Rouen2-1
HT 1-1
US Orleans 45

Standings · France Ligue 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Caen 1100 403
2 Thionville FC 1100 303
3 Le Puy 1100 203
3 US Orleans 45 1100 203
5 Bourg-Peronnas 1100 323
5 La Roche VF 1100 323
7 Paris 13 Atletico 1100 103
8 Amiens 1010 001
8 Cannes 1010 001
8 FC Fleury 91 1010 001
8 Rouen 1010 001
12 Versailles 78 1001 230
12 Villefranche 1001 230
14 US Quevilly 1001 010
15 SC Bastia 1001 020
15 Concarneau 1001 020
17 Aubagne Air Bel 1001 030
18 Valenciennes 1001 040

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUS Orleans 45Rouen
FC Fleury 91 2-0 W 2-1 W
Versailles 78 0-0 D 1-3 L
US Quevilly 0-3 L 0-0 D
Aubagne Air Bel 2-0 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: US Orleans 45 (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

US Orleans 45

DWLDWLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Concarneau
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-0 44 W
25/07 Auxerre
Europe Friendlies
0-1 2-1 51 W
18/07 Paris 13 Atletico
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 10 W
11/07 Clermont Foot
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 60 L
15/05 Dijon
France Ligue 3
0-1 2-3 43 L
09/05 FC Fleury 91
France Ligue 3
2-0 2-0 54 W
01/05 Versailles 78
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 47 D
24/04 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-3 75 L
17/04 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-0 55 W
10/04 Concarneau
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-1 86 D

Rouen

WDLWDLWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Cannes
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 63 D
31/07 Avranches
Europe Friendlies
2-0 2-0 103 W
28/07 Al-Wakrah SC
Club Friendly List
0-0 1-0 W
25/07 Boulogne
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 52 W
24/05 Laval
France Ligue 2 Play-Offs
0-1 0-1 57 L
19/05 Laval
France Ligue 2 Play-Offs
0-1 1-1 46 D
15/05 FC Fleury 91
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-1 85 W
09/05 Versailles 78
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-3 131 L
02/05 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 86 D
24/04 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
2-1 3-1 83 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in US Orleans 45 vs Rouen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rouen win (35%). Probabilities: US Orleans 45 34%, draw 31%, Rouen 35%.

How many goals are expected in US Orleans 45 vs Rouen?

The model expects 2 goals (US Orleans 45 0.99 · Rouen 1.01), with a 59% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in US Orleans 45 vs Rouen?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.