Prediction: Caen vs Aubagne Air Bel
Team pages: Caen · Aubagne Air Bel
- Aubagne Air Bel3-1Caen
- Caen3-0Aubagne Air Bel
| Caen | Draw | Aubagne Air Bel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 26% | 22% |
| Market | 53% | 25% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caen (rating 1511 vs 1417).
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Caen | Aubagne Air Bel | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.7 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.8 | 2.3 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Caen 1–0–1 Aubagne Air Bel
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 France Ligue 3 | Aubagne Air Bel | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Caen |
| 08/08/25 France Ligue 3 | Caen | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Aubagne Air Bel |
Standings · France Ligue 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thionville FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | La Roche VF | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Rouen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Caen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Villefranche | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Le Puy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Versailles 78 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Bourg-Peronnas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Valenciennes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | US Orleans 45 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Paris 13 Atletico | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | SC Bastia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Cannes | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | FC Fleury 91 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | US Quevilly | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Concarneau | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Amiens | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Aubagne Air Bel | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Caen | Aubagne Air Bel |
|---|---|---|
| Thionville FC | 3-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Paris 13 Atletico | 3-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
2-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 07/08 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 31/07 | Saint Malo Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | Dieppe Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Al-Wakrah SC World Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Laval Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/07 | Paris 13 Atletico Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 09/07 | Rennes Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Aubagne Air Bel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | SC Bastia France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 07/08 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 31/07 | Sporting Club Toulon Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 30/07 | Istres Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/07 | SC Bastia Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | Montpellier Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | Le Puy Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Stade Briochin France Ligue 3 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caen vs Aubagne Air Bel?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Caen win (53%). Probabilities: Caen 53%, draw 25%, Aubagne Air Bel 22%.
How many goals are expected in Caen vs Aubagne Air Bel?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Caen 1.77 · Aubagne Air Bel 1.07), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Caen vs Aubagne Air Bel?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.