Football · France Ligue 3 · 20/08, 20:45

Prediction: FC Fleury 91 vs US Orleans 45

Team pages: FC Fleury 91 · US Orleans 45

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
FC Fleury 911.31
US Orleans 451.1
1X2
41% 29% 31%
FC Fleury 91 Draw US Orleans 45
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Fleury 91 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
WWLLLLLLDD
US Orleans 45 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLDWLLWWWL
Head-to-head
FC Fleury 91 1–1 US Orleans 45 (2 last)
  • US Orleans 452-0FC Fleury 91
  • FC Fleury 913-0US Orleans 45
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Fleury 91 1448 · US Orleans 45 1513
FC Fleury 91DrawUS Orleans 45
Our model40%30%30%
Market41%27%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours US Orleans 45 (rating 1448 vs 1513).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Fleury 91US Orleans 45
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.71.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.80.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.42.3 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.23 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Fleury 91 101 US Orleans 45

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
France Ligue 3
US Orleans 452-0
HT 2-0
FC Fleury 91
16/01/26
France Ligue 3
FC Fleury 913-0
HT 1-0
US Orleans 45

Standings · France Ligue 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Thionville FC 2200 736
2 La Roche VF 2200 426
3 Rouen 2110 214
4 Caen 2101 743
5 Villefranche 2101 433
6 Le Puy 2101 213
7 Versailles 78 2101 333
8 Bourg-Peronnas 2101 343
9 Valenciennes 2101 243
10 US Orleans 45 2101 323
11 Paris 13 Atletico 2101 123
11 SC Bastia 2101 123
13 Cannes 2020 112
13 FC Fleury 91 2020 112
15 US Quevilly 2011 121
16 Concarneau 2011 131
17 Amiens 2011 011
18 Aubagne Air Bel 2002 040

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Fleury 91US Orleans 45
Versailles 78 1-2 L 0-0 D
Rouen 1-2 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: US Orleans 45 (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Fleury 91

WWLLLLLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Cannes
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 32 D
07/08 Amiens
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 44 D
25/07 Versailles 78
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-2 12 L
17/07 Creteil
Club Friendly List
1-2 1-3 L
15/07 Boulogne
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-2 20 L
11/07 Nantes
Europe Friendlies
0-3 0-5 51 L
15/05 Rouen
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-2 45 L
09/05 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
0-2 0-2 94 L
01/05 Le Puy
France Ligue 3
3-0 4-0 52 W
24/04 Chateauroux
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-0 76 W

US Orleans 45

WLDWLLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Rouen
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-2 44 L
07/08 Concarneau
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-0 44 W
25/07 Auxerre
Europe Friendlies
0-1 2-1 51 W
18/07 Paris 13 Atletico
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 10 W
11/07 Clermont Foot
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 60 L
15/05 Dijon
France Ligue 3
0-1 2-3 43 L
09/05 FC Fleury 91
France Ligue 3
2-0 2-0 54 W
01/05 Versailles 78
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 47 D
24/04 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-3 75 L
17/04 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-0 55 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Fleury 91 vs US Orleans 45?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Fleury 91 win (41%). Probabilities: FC Fleury 91 41%, draw 29%, US Orleans 45 31%.

How many goals are expected in FC Fleury 91 vs US Orleans 45?

The model expects 2.41 goals (FC Fleury 91 1.31 · US Orleans 45 1.1), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Fleury 91 vs US Orleans 45?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.