Football · France Ligue 3 · 14/08, 19:00

Prediction: US Quevilly vs Concarneau

Team pages: US Quevilly · Concarneau

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
US Quevilly1.29
Concarneau1.24
1X2
37% 29% 34%
US Quevilly Draw Concarneau
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
US Quevilly 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WDWDLWLLDL
Concarneau 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WDDDLDWWWL
Head-to-head
US Quevilly 2–1–3 Concarneau (6 last)
  • US Quevilly2-1Concarneau
  • Concarneau3-1US Quevilly
  • Concarneau5-1US Quevilly
  • US Quevilly2-1Concarneau
  • Concarneau0-0US Quevilly
  • US Quevilly2-3Concarneau
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · US Quevilly 1488 · Concarneau 1524
US QuevillyDrawConcarneau
Our model37%29%34%
Market37%28%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Concarneau: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

US QuevillyConcarneau
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.51.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 32.1 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.22 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · US Quevilly 213 Concarneau

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/02/26
France Ligue 3
US Quevilly2-1
HT 0-1
Concarneau
05/09/25
France Ligue 3
Concarneau3-1
HT 2-0
US Quevilly
25/04/25
France Ligue 3
Concarneau5-1
HT 3-1
US Quevilly
14/12/24
France Ligue 3
US Quevilly2-1
HT 2-0
Concarneau
20/04/24
France Ligue 2
Concarneau0-0
HT 0-0
US Quevilly
16/09/23
France Ligue 2
US Quevilly2-3
HT 0-3
Concarneau

Standings · France Ligue 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Caen 1100 403
2 Thionville FC 1100 303
3 Le Puy 1100 203
3 US Orleans 45 1100 203
5 Bourg-Peronnas 1100 323
5 La Roche VF 1100 323
7 Paris 13 Atletico 1100 103
8 Amiens 1010 001
8 Cannes 1010 001
8 FC Fleury 91 1010 001
8 Rouen 1010 001
12 Versailles 78 1001 230
12 Villefranche 1001 230
14 US Quevilly 1001 010
15 SC Bastia 1001 020
15 Concarneau 1001 020
17 Aubagne Air Bel 1001 030
18 Valenciennes 1001 040

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUS QuevillyConcarneau
Paris 13 Atletico 0-1 L 0-0 D
Laval 0-5 L 2-1 W
Stade Briochin 0-3 L 2-1 W
US Orleans 45 3-0 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Concarneau (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

US Quevilly

WDWDLWLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-1 42 L
22/07 Clermont Foot
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-1 03 D
18/07 Amiens
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-2 33 L
15/07 Laval
Europe Friendlies
0-2 0-5 40 L
15/05 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-0 72 W
09/05 Stade Briochin
France Ligue 3
0-2 0-3 44 L
02/05 Rouen
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 26 D
24/04 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
0-0 3-0 05 W
17/04 Le Puy
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 24 D
10/04 Chateauroux
France Ligue 3
3-2 5-3 44 W

Concarneau

WDDDLDWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-2 44 L
31/07 Pontivy GSI
Club Friendly List
2-1 5-1 W
25/07 Laval
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-1 W
22/07 Guingamp
Club Friendly List
0-0 1-0 W
18/07 Brest
Europe Friendlies
0-2 2-2 70 D
11/07 Lorient
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-2 31 L
15/05 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
1-1 2-2 42 D
09/05 Caen
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 33 D
30/04 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 73 D
24/04 Stade Briochin
France Ligue 3
1-1 2-1 52 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in US Quevilly vs Concarneau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a US Quevilly win (37%). Probabilities: US Quevilly 37%, draw 29%, Concarneau 34%.

How many goals are expected in US Quevilly vs Concarneau?

The model expects 2.53 goals (US Quevilly 1.29 · Concarneau 1.24), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in US Quevilly vs Concarneau?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.