Prediction: Valenciennes vs Bourg-Peronnas
Team pages: Valenciennes · Bourg-Peronnas
- Bourg-Peronnas1-0Valenciennes
- Valenciennes3-1Bourg-Peronnas
- Bourg-Peronnas1-0Valenciennes
- Valenciennes1-2Bourg-Peronnas
- Valenciennes2-2Bourg-Peronnas
- Bourg-Peronnas1-3Valenciennes
| Valenciennes | Draw | Bourg-Peronnas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 30% | 24% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Bourg-Peronnas: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Valenciennes | Bourg-Peronnas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5 | 2.4 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valenciennes 2–1–3 Bourg-Peronnas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 France Ligue 3 | Bourg-Peronnas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Valenciennes |
| 16/01/26 France Ligue 3 | Valenciennes | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Bourg-Peronnas |
| 04/04/25 France Ligue 3 | Bourg-Peronnas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Valenciennes |
| 08/11/24 France Ligue 3 | Valenciennes | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Bourg-Peronnas |
| 13/04/18 France Ligue 2 | Valenciennes | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Bourg-Peronnas |
| 17/11/17 France Ligue 2 | Bourg-Peronnas | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Valenciennes |
Standings · France Ligue 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Thionville FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Le Puy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | US Orleans 45 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Bourg-Peronnas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | La Roche VF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Paris 13 Atletico | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Amiens | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Cannes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | FC Fleury 91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Rouen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Versailles 78 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Villefranche | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | US Quevilly | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | SC Bastia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Concarneau | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Aubagne Air Bel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Valenciennes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Valenciennes | Bourg-Peronnas |
|---|---|---|
| Caen | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Sochaux | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Dijon | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| FC Fleury 91 | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Valenciennes (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valenciennes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Boulogne Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 22/07 | Eastleigh Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | KV Kortrijk Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Dunkerque Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 15/05 | Chateauroux France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Sochaux France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 24/04 | Dijon France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
Bourg-Peronnas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Dijon Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | Grenoble Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 24/04 | Sochaux France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 10/04 | Dijon France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 03/04 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/03 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valenciennes vs Bourg-Peronnas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Valenciennes win (46%). Probabilities: Valenciennes 46%, draw 29%, Bourg-Peronnas 25%.
How many goals are expected in Valenciennes vs Bourg-Peronnas?
The model expects 2.26 goals (Valenciennes 1.35 · Bourg-Peronnas 0.91), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Valenciennes vs Bourg-Peronnas?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.