Football · France Ligue 3 · 29/08, 14:45

Prediction: Villefranche vs Rouen

Team pages: Villefranche · Rouen

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Villefranche0.95
Rouen1.3
1X2
27% 29% 44%
Villefranche Draw Rouen
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Villefranche 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWDWLLDLWL
Rouen 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DLDWDLWDWW
Head-to-head
Villefranche 3–1–2 Rouen (6 last)
  • Villefranche2-1Rouen
  • Rouen2-1Villefranche
  • Rouen2-4Villefranche
  • Villefranche2-1Rouen
  • Villefranche1-1Rouen
  • Rouen1-0Villefranche
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Villefranche 1481 · Rouen 1568
VillefrancheDrawRouen
Our model26%31%43%
Market28%28%45%
Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rouen (rating 1481 vs 1568).
  • H2H favours Villefranche: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

VillefrancheRouen
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.31.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.50.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.43.6 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.23.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Villefranche 312 Rouen

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/04/26
France National
Villefranche2-1
HT 2-0
Rouen
01/11/25
France National
Rouen2-1
HT 1-1
Villefranche
14/03/25
France National
Rouen2-4
HT 0-3
Villefranche
18/10/24
France National
Villefranche2-1
HT 1-1
Rouen
12/04/24
France National
Villefranche1-1
HT 0-0
Rouen
12/03/24
France National
Rouen1-0
HT 1-0
Villefranche

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVillefrancheRouen
Concarneau 0-2 L 0-0 D
Caen 0-3 L 1-1 D
US Orleans 45 0-0 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Rouen (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Villefranche

DWDWLLDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/08 Concarneau
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-2 25 L
14/08 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
2-0 2-0 78 W
07/08 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
0-1 2-3 43 L
15/05 Concarneau
France National
1-1 2-2 82 D
02/05 Bourg-Peronnas
France National
0-0 0-1 116 L
24/04 Caen
France National
0-2 0-3 13 L
17/04 Paris 13 Atletico
France National
2-0 3-1 33 W
10/04 Stade Briochin
France National
0-0 0-0 34 D
03/04 Rouen
France National
2-0 2-1 46 W
27/03 US Orleans 45
France National
0-0 0-0 13 D

Rouen

DLDWDLWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/08 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
2-0 3-0 31 W
14/08 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-1 34 W
07/08 Cannes
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 63 D
15/05 FC Fleury 91
France National
0-0 2-1 85 W
09/05 Versailles 78
France National
0-1 1-3 131 L
02/05 US Quevilly
France National
0-0 0-0 86 D
24/04 Aubagne Air Bel
France National
2-1 3-1 83 W
17/04 Concarneau
France National
0-0 0-0 80 D
03/04 Villefranche
France National
0-2 1-2 116 L
27/03 Caen
France National
0-1 1-1 75 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Villefranche vs Rouen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rouen win (44%). Probabilities: Villefranche 27%, draw 29%, Rouen 44%.

How many goals are expected in Villefranche vs Rouen?

The model expects 2.24 goals (Villefranche 0.95 · Rouen 1.3), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Villefranche vs Rouen?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.