Football · France Ligue 3 · 05/09, 14:45

Prediction: Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne Air Bel

Team pages: Paris 13 Atletico · Aubagne Air Bel

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Paris 13 Atletico1.29
Aubagne Air Bel0.98
1X2
42% 30% 27%
Paris 13 Atletico Draw Aubagne Air Bel
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Paris 13 Atletico 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLLDDLWLWD
Aubagne Air Bel 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLLLDWLLLW
Head-to-head
Paris 13 Atletico 1–3–0 Aubagne Air Bel (4 last)
  • Paris 13 Atletico1-1Aubagne Air Bel
  • Aubagne Air Bel1-1Paris 13 Atletico
  • Aubagne Air Bel1-1Paris 13 Atletico
  • Paris 13 Atletico1-0Aubagne Air Bel
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paris 13 Atletico 1504 · Aubagne Air Bel 1424
Paris 13 AtleticoDrawAubagne Air Bel
Our model42%31%27%
Market43%30%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paris 13 Atletico (rating 1504 vs 1424).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Paris 13 AtleticoAubagne Air Bel
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.31 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.70.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%22/33/44%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.82 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.35.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Paris 13 Atletico 130 Aubagne Air Bel

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
France Ligue 3
Paris 13 Atletico1-1
HT 1-1
Aubagne Air Bel
16/01/26
France Ligue 3
Aubagne Air Bel1-1
HT 0-1
Paris 13 Atletico
11/04/25
France Ligue 3
Aubagne Air Bel1-1
HT 0-0
Paris 13 Atletico
22/11/24
France Ligue 3
Paris 13 Atletico1-0
HT 0-0
Aubagne Air Bel

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentParis 13 AtleticoAubagne Air Bel
Thionville FC 1-1 D 0-3 L
Caen 0-3 L 0-1 L
Bourg-Peronnas 0-1 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Aubagne Air Bel (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paris 13 Atletico

LLLDDLWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-1 15 D
20/08 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-1 34 W
14/08 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
0-2 0-2 28 L
07/08 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-0 72 W
15/05 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-1 32 L
09/05 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
1-1 1-1 64 D
30/04 Concarneau
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 23 D
17/04 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
0-2 1-3 73 L
10/04 Caen
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-3 43 L
03/04 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-1 33 L

Aubagne Air Bel

WLLLDWLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
2-0 2-0 310 W
20/08 Caen
France Ligue 3
0-1 L
14/08 SC Bastia
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-1 58 L
07/08 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-3 16 L
15/05 Caen
France Ligue 3
1-0 3-1 33 W
09/05 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
1-1 1-1 24 D
01/05 Stade Briochin
France Ligue 3
1-2 1-2 118 L
24/04 Rouen
France Ligue 3
1-2 1-3 23 L
17/04 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-2 15 L
10/04 Le Puy
France Ligue 3
1-1 2-1 41 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne Air Bel?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Paris 13 Atletico win (42%). Probabilities: Paris 13 Atletico 42%, draw 30%, Aubagne Air Bel 27%.

How many goals are expected in Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne Air Bel?

The model expects 2.27 goals (Paris 13 Atletico 1.29 · Aubagne Air Bel 0.98), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne Air Bel?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.