Prediction: Bourg-Peronnas vs Caen
Team pages: Bourg-Peronnas · Caen
- Bourg-Peronnas0-2Caen
- Caen1-0Bourg-Peronnas
| Bourg-Peronnas | Draw | Caen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 30% | 41% |
| Market | 30% | 28% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caen (rating 1443 vs 1524).
- H2H favours Caen: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bourg-Peronnas | Caen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 56/22/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.9 | 2.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bourg-Peronnas 0–0–2 Caen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 France Ligue 3 | Bourg-Peronnas | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Caen |
| 21/11/25 France Ligue 3 | Caen | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Bourg-Peronnas |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bourg-Peronnas | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| Aubagne Air Bel | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Thionville FC | 0-2 L | 3-4 L |
| Valenciennes | 0-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Villefranche | 3-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Paris 13 Atletico | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Caen (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bourg-Peronnas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 20/08 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 07/08 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 24/04 | Sochaux France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 10/04 | Dijon France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 03/04 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Caen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | SC Bastia France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 20/08 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
2-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 07/08 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 17/04 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 10/04 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Stade Briochin France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bourg-Peronnas vs Caen?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Caen win (42%). Probabilities: Bourg-Peronnas 29%, draw 29%, Caen 42%.
How many goals are expected in Bourg-Peronnas vs Caen?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Bourg-Peronnas 1.07 · Caen 1.34), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bourg-Peronnas vs Caen?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.