Prediction: Rouen vs Valenciennes
Team pages: Rouen · Valenciennes
- Rouen1-2Valenciennes
- Valenciennes2-3Rouen
- Valenciennes0-0Rouen
- Rouen1-1Valenciennes
- Rouen1-1Valenciennes
| Rouen | Draw | Valenciennes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 31% | 23% |
| Market | 48% | 27% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rouen (rating 1565 vs 1503).
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rouen | Valenciennes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 7.7 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rouen 1–3–1 Valenciennes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 France Ligue 3 | Rouen | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Valenciennes |
| 29/08/25 France Ligue 3 | Valenciennes | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Rouen |
| 14/02/25 France Ligue 3 | Valenciennes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Rouen |
| 14/09/24 France Ligue 3 | Rouen | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Valenciennes |
| 28/02/24 France Cup | Rouen | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Valenciennes |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rouen | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| FC Fleury 91 | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Versailles 78 | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Concarneau | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rouen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 14/08 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Cannes France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 24/04 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 17/04 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 03/04 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
Valenciennes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 20/08 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/08 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Chateauroux France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Sochaux France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 24/04 | Dijon France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 10/04 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rouen vs Valenciennes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rouen win (47%). Probabilities: Rouen 47%, draw 29%, Valenciennes 24%.
How many goals are expected in Rouen vs Valenciennes?
The model expects 2.1 goals (Rouen 1.28 · Valenciennes 0.82), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Rouen vs Valenciennes?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.